Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Boise State

51.3%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -105

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 75

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricColorado State

59.5MMH Power Index55.4

113.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

6.8Net Efficiency7.2

4.2Strength of Schedule0.4

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.6Tempo64.7

52.7%Effective FG%58.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.7Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.4), recent form (5.2–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–113.9), net efficiency (7.2–6.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.7).

Final

Boise State

78—67

Colorado State

Boise State by 11 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATColorado State

26-51FG26-52

51.0%FG%50.0%

6-193PT6-20

32.0%3PT%30.0%

20-25FT9-14

80.0%FT%64.0%

37Rebounds21

13Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists18

11Turnovers9

4Steals7

1Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Fielder	C	28	10-15	1-5	2-4	6	1	1	0	23
Dylan Andrews	G	30	6-11	1-3	6-6	4	3	1	0	19
Andrew Meadow	F	29	2-7	1-3	6-6	7	0	0	1	11
RJ Keene II	G	33	2-3	2-3	1-2	5	1	0	0	7
Dominic Parolin	F	13	2-3	1-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	7
Javan Buchanan	F	22	1-3	0-1	2-3	4	0	0	0	4
Pearson Carmichael	F	16	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Spencer Ahrens	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Aginaldo Neto	G	12	0-3	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Bhan Buom	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Butler	G	37	4-8	1-3	6-8	5	2	2	0	15
Kyle Jorgensen	F	30	6-9	2-4	0-2	3	0	0	3	14
Carey Booth	F	28	3-6	1-2	2-2	4	0	1	1	9
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	28	4-12	1-6	0-0	0	5	1	0	9
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	11	3-3	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
Rashaan Mbemba	F	10	3-5	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	7
Jevin Muniz	G	38	2-7	0-3	0-0	2	9	0	0	4
Jojo McIver	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Darnez Slater	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

127.2Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency127.2

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

56.9%Effective FG%55.8%

62.0%True Shooting %57.1%

18.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

49.0%Free Throw Rate26.9%

37.3%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.55Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Boise State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.