Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Xavier

83.4%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -502

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 72

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 84

Team Comparison

XavierMetricVillanova

49.5MMH Power Index59.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency114.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

-3.2Net Efficiency8.8

5.6Strength of Schedule4.4

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

71.7Tempo67.3

51.7%Effective FG%53.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.9%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-2.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–112.4), net efficiency (8.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.4), ball security (13.9–15.0).

Final

Xavier

78—91

Villanova

Villanova by 13 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATVillanova

27-66FG35-62

41.0%FG%56.0%

10-263PT13-31

38.0%3PT%42.0%

14-14FT8-9

100.0%FT%89.0%

28Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists24

7Turnovers12

7Steals2

1Blocks1

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jovan Milicevic	F	35	5-15	3-7	8-8	6	4	1	1	21
Filip Borovicanin	F	34	5-9	2-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	14
Malik Messina-Moore	G	34	6-13	1-6	1-1	1	3	2	0	14
Isaiah Walker	G	33	4-6	2-2	0-0	8	2	0	0	10
All Wright	G	20	3-8	1-4	2-2	1	2	0	0	9
Roddie Anderson III	G	29	3-13	1-4	0-0	4	5	3	0	7
Anthony Robinson	F	6	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Pape N'Diaye	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Brennan	F	32	9-12	0-0	2-2	13	2	0	1	20
Devin Askew	G	33	6-14	5-11	1-1	8	7	1	0	18
Tyler Perkins	G	32	6-11	6-9	0-0	4	2	0	0	18
Acaden Lewis	G	34	5-7	1-2	3-4	1	12	1	0	14
Malachi Palmer	G	34	3-8	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Braden Pierce	C	8	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Chris Jeffrey	G	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Bryce Lindsay	G	16	1-5	0-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Wade Chiddick	G	0	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

109.9Offensive Efficiency128.2

128.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

-18.3Net Efficiency18.3

48.5%Effective FG%66.9%

53.7%True Shooting %68.7%

9.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

21.2%Free Throw Rate14.5%

39.4%3-Point Rate50.0%

2.57Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Villanova won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.