Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.1%Notre Dame

49.9%Boston College

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoston College -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINENotre Dame -100

Boston College

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 72

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreBoston College 73

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricBoston College

49.7MMH Power Index45.1

110.3Offensive Efficiency100.0

111.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

-0.9Net Efficiency-4.8

4.7Strength of Schedule4.8

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

68.0Tempo67.4

53.0%Effective FG%47.1%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-0.6Average Margin-3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Notre Dame HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNotre Dame holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–45.1), offensive efficiency (110.3–100.0), net efficiency (-0.9–-4.8), recent form (-11.6–-14.3).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–111.2), strength of schedule (4.8–4.7), ball security (15.4–17.0).

Final

Notre Dame

69—77

Boston College

Boston College by 8 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATBoston College

22-62FG20-55

35.0%FG%36.0%

11-353PT6-28

31.0%3PT%21.0%

14-21FT31-41

67.0%FT%76.0%

37Rebounds46

7Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists10

11Turnovers9

4Steals8

4Blocks3

30Fouls19

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Haralson	F	30	7-11	0-0	7-11	4	2	0	0	21
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	36	4-12	4-11	2-2	5	3	1	0	14
Brady Koehler	F	31	3-13	2-7	2-2	11	0	2	2	10
Cole Certa	G	30	3-14	2-11	2-4	1	1	1	0	10
Logan Imes	G	15	2-4	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Sir Mohammed	G	15	1-3	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	4
Carson Towt	F	26	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Garrett Sundra	F	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Matthew MacLellan	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryder Frost	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred Payne	G	38	7-20	3-12	7-10	9	4	5	0	24
Chase Forte	G	37	3-8	2-5	6-9	6	4	2	1	14
Jayden Hastings	F	22	2-3	0-0	8-9	7	0	0	2	12
Boden Kapke	F	28	3-7	1-3	4-5	7	1	0	0	11
Donald Hand Jr.	G	9	2-6	0-2	3-4	1	0	1	0	7
Aidan Shaw	G	30	2-4	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
Luka Toews	G	23	1-3	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Caleb Steger	G	13	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

91.6Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency91.6

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

44.4%Effective FG%41.8%

47.9%True Shooting %51.7%

14.5%Turnover Rate12.1%

33.9%Free Throw Rate74.5%

56.5%3-Point Rate50.9%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Boston College won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.