Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Cincinnati

57.7%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -136

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 71

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreTCU 74

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricTCU

61.5MMH Power Index59.7

105.3Offensive Efficiency110.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency102.7

8.0Net Efficiency7.5

5.1Strength of Schedule4.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.4Tempo70.2

50.6%Effective FG%50.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.5Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–59.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–102.7), net efficiency (8.0–7.5), strength of schedule (5.1–4.6).

TCU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.2–105.3), ball security (15.3–17.0), offensive rebounding (33.6–30.6).

Final

Cincinnati

63—73

TCU

TCU by 10 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATTCU

23-52FG26-59

44.0%FG%44.0%

13-313PT6-22

42.0%3PT%27.0%

4-6FT15-21

67.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists21

19Turnovers6

3Steals8

5Blocks1

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	37	7-14	5-11	0-0	4	1	1	2	19
Jalen Celestine	G	29	4-9	4-8	0-0	3	4	0	1	12
Jizzle James	G	34	4-9	3-7	0-0	2	2	0	1	11
Moustapha Thiam	C	28	4-8	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	1	8
Baba Miller	F	34	1-4	0-2	2-2	14	3	0	0	4
Keyshuan Tillery	G	14	1-3	0-0	2-4	0	4	0	0	4
Shon Abaev	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Halvine Dzellat	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Sencire Harris	G	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	5	1	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	32	7-11	1-3	3-4	5	5	2	0	18
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	26	4-9	2-6	4-4	4	0	1	0	14
David Punch	F	33	4-6	0-0	5-6	4	7	3	0	13
Xavier Edmonds	F	23	4-8	1-2	0-1	2	0	1	1	9
Brock Harding	G	32	2-6	0-1	3-6	1	6	0	0	7
Micah Robinson	F	30	3-11	1-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	7
Tanner Toolson	G	21	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Vianney Salatchoum	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Trey Stuart	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

99.2Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency99.2

-15.7Net Efficiency15.7

56.7%Effective FG%49.2%

57.4%True Shooting %52.9%

30.2%Turnover Rate9.4%

11.5%Free Throw Rate35.6%

59.6%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

TCU won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.