Sam Houston

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%Sam Houston

56.0%Liberty

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLiberty -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINELiberty -127

Liberty

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSam Houston 77

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreLiberty 79

Team Comparison

Sam HoustonMetricLiberty

56.1MMH Power Index53.7

115.5Offensive Efficiency119.0

105.5Defensive Efficiency108.0

10.0Net Efficiency11.0

-2.2Strength of Schedule-2.0

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

71.2Tempo65.3

53.2%Effective FG%60.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.2%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %19.0%

34.8%Free Throw Rate32.1%

7.1Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.0–115.5), net efficiency (11.0–10.0), strength of schedule (-2.0–-2.2), shooting efficiency (60.5–53.2).

Sam Houston COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.1–53.7), defensive efficiency (105.5–108.0), recent form (3.2–-4.2).

Final

Sam Houston

72—79

Liberty

Liberty by 7 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sam HoustonTEAM STATLiberty

28-62FG28-55

45.0%FG%51.0%

8-163PT14-36

50.0%3PT%39.0%

8-15FT9-11

53.0%FT%82.0%

37Rebounds30

15Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists20

8Turnovers8

2Steals3

—Blocks5

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Veljko Ilic	F	27	10-15	0-0	1-5	5	0	2	21
Jacob Walker	G	37	4-13	2-3	3-4	5	3	0	13
Kashie Natt	G	35	3-9	1-3	4-6	16	3	0	11
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	33	4-8	2-3	0-0	2	3	0	10
Jacobe Coleman	G	37	3-12	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	8
Matt Dann	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	6
CJ Beaumont	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	3

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Cleveland	F	37	9-10	0-0	1-3	9	9	1	1	19
Brett Decker Jr.	G	36	5-13	4-12	2-2	5	1	0	0	16
Colin Porter	G	37	4-12	3-10	4-4	3	2	1	0	15
Kaden Metheny	G	37	5-10	4-8	0-0	3	4	1	0	14
Josh Smith	F	17	2-2	1-1	0-0	5	2	0	1	5
Zander Carter	G	16	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Zander Yates	F	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
JJ Harper	G	16	0-4	0-2	2-2	3	1	0	3	2
Ryan Jones Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

115.8Offensive Efficiency127.0

127.0Defensive Efficiency115.8

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

51.6%Effective FG%63.6%

52.1%True Shooting %65.6%

12.9%Turnover Rate12.9%

24.2%Free Throw Rate20.0%

25.8%3-Point Rate65.5%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Liberty won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.