Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.2%Stanford

64.8%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -184

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 76

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreNC State 82

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricNC State

59.2MMH Power Index60.1

111.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency108.6

4.5Net Efficiency9.8

5.2Strength of Schedule6.4

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

68.1Tempo70.2

51.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

3.0Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.2), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.8–4.5), strength of schedule (6.4–5.2).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–108.6), recent form (7.4–-11.9), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.2).

Final

Stanford

85—84

NC State

Stanford by 1 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATNC State

33-68FG26-54

49.0%FG%48.0%

11-293PT7-20

38.0%3PT%35.0%

8-11FT25-34

73.0%FT%74.0%

36Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists9

8Turnovers12

11Steals6

2Blocks3

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ebuka Okorie	G	38	13-22	5-8	2-2	5	3	2	1	33
Jaylen Thompson	F	26	6-12	1-6	2-2	6	2	1	0	15
AJ Rohosy	F	26	7-8	0-0	0-3	7	0	1	0	14
Jeremy Dent-Smith	G	19	2-7	2-5	4-4	3	1	1	0	10
Benny Gealer	G	27	3-9	2-8	0-0	0	2	2	0	8
Ryan Agarwal	G	10	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Donavin Young	F	25	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	2
Aidan Cammann	F	19	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	3	0	0
Oskar Giltay	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	34	6-8	0-0	5-8	11	0	0	0	17
Quadir Copeland	G	29	6-13	0-1	4-6	5	2	1	0	16
Tre Holloman	G	25	4-6	2-4	5-5	1	1	1	0	15
Matt Able	G	30	4-9	2-5	3-3	6	1	2	1	13
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	24	3-4	2-2	5-7	1	0	0	2	13
Darrion Williams	F	35	1-8	1-5	1-2	5	3	2	0	4
Terrance Arceneaux	G	14	1-5	0-3	1-1	2	2	0	0	3
Alyn Breed	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Scottie Ebube	C	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jordan Snell	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Musa Sagnia	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

123.7Offensive Efficiency122.3

122.3Defensive Efficiency123.7

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

56.6%Effective FG%54.6%

58.0%True Shooting %59.9%

12.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

16.2%Free Throw Rate63.0%

42.6%3-Point Rate37.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Stanford won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.