Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%Middle Tennessee

58.7%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -142

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 74

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreMissouri State 76

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricMissouri State

52.5MMH Power Index51.1

109.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

105.7Defensive Efficiency108.4

3.9Net Efficiency2.1

0.4Strength of Schedule0.5

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

68.8Tempo67.9

52.2%Effective FG%51.8%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.7Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.1), defensive efficiency (105.7–108.4), net efficiency (3.9–2.1), recent form (3.2–-2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–109.6), strength of schedule (0.5–0.4), ball security (16.4–16.7).

Final

Middle Tennessee

75—63

Missouri State

Middle Tennessee by 12 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATMissouri State

26-56FG23-55

46.0%FG%42.0%

9-213PT5-23

43.0%3PT%22.0%

14-16FT12-17

88.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists16

9Turnovers9

6Steals2

2Blocks—

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Torey Alston	F	33	6-13	0-3	5-6	10	3	0	0	17
Tre Green	G	27	4-8	4-8	0-0	3	0	1	0	12
Jahvin Carter	G	23	4-7	1-2	1-2	3	4	2	0	10
Kamari Lands	G	28	1-6	0-3	7-7	3	5	1	0	9
Sean Smith	G	21	3-7	1-1	0-0	3	4	1	0	7
Jarred Hall	F	10	3-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Alec Oglesby	G	19	2-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Chris Loofe	F	18	2-6	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	2	5
Luka Jovanovic	C	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Marcus Whitlock Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
James Dent Jr.	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	35	9-14	0-0	2-5	11	5	0	20
Kobi Williams	G	34	4-10	3-8	1-1	2	2	1	12
Trey Williams Jr.	G	37	4-14	1-8	2-3	3	2	0	11
Keith Palek III	F	33	4-10	0-2	2-2	6	3	0	10
Zaxton King	G	28	1-3	1-3	3-4	2	3	0	6
Tyrique Brooks	G	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2
Cameron Boone	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Melakih Cunningham	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Darrion Sutton	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

113.0Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency113.0

18.1Net Efficiency-18.1

54.5%Effective FG%46.4%

59.0%True Shooting %49.9%

13.3%Turnover Rate13.8%

28.6%Free Throw Rate30.9%

37.5%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.