California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%California

65.3%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -188

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 76

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreWake Forest 80

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricWake Forest

56.5MMH Power Index57.6

111.8Offensive Efficiency112.4

104.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

7.0Net Efficiency2.7

2.8Strength of Schedule7.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.9Tempo70.2

52.6%Effective FG%52.8%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.1%

4.9Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.8–109.7), net efficiency (7.0–2.7), recent form (1.8–-0.1), ball security (14.9–15.5).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.6–56.5), offensive efficiency (112.4–111.8), strength of schedule (7.2–2.8).

Final

California

73—80

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 7 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATWake Forest

21-59FG23-56

36.0%FG%41.0%

8-293PT7-23

28.0%3PT%30.0%

23-28FT27-35

82.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds45

7Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists14

7Turnovers12

4Steals4

—Blocks4

26Fouls26

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dai Dai Ames	G	33	9-18	3-8	10-10	2	2	0	31
Justin Pippen	G	30	5-13	2-8	5-5	3	3	2	17
John Camden	F	34	2-9	1-7	3-4	5	1	1	8
Chris Bell	F	19	1-7	1-3	4-4	1	0	0	7
Nolan Dorsey	G	12	2-2	1-1	0-1	4	0	0	5
Semetri Carr	G	13	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	3
Lee Dort	F	20	1-4	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	2
DeJuan Campbell	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0
Milos Ilic	C	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Mantas Kocanas	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Sammie Yeanay	F	3	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juke Harris	G	40	10-22	2-6	9-13	15	3	0	0	31
Omaha Biliew	F	27	2-4	0-1	6-6	3	2	1	0	10
Mekhi Mason	G	23	2-4	2-4	4-5	4	3	1	0	10
Cooper Schwieger	F	23	3-5	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	1	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	24	2-6	1-2	1-2	3	2	0	3	6
Sebastian Akins	G	27	1-2	0-0	3-5	3	1	0	0	5
Myles Colvin	G	22	1-9	0-6	2-2	3	2	2	0	4
Isaac Carr	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Owen Kmety	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency100.1

-9.6Net Efficiency9.6

42.4%Effective FG%47.3%

50.5%True Shooting %55.1%

9.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

47.5%Free Throw Rate62.5%

49.2%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.