Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Jacksonville State

43.8%UTEP

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -128

UTEP

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 71

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreUTEP 70

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricUTEP

51.2MMH Power Index44.4

108.2Offensive Efficiency102.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

6.4Net Efficiency-4.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule1.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

67.2Tempo67.6

51.0%Effective FG%49.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

44.5%Free Throw Rate35.6%

4.3Average Margin-3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.2–102.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–107.1), net efficiency (6.4–-4.5).

UTEP COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.3).

Final

Jacksonville State

64—61

UTEP

Jacksonville State by 3 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATUTEP

21-51FG20-48

41.0%FG%42.0%

7-163PT5-18

44.0%3PT%28.0%

15-22FT16-22

68.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists8

15Turnovers13

7Steals9

2Blocks1

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	32	6-14	2-3	9-13	7	1	1	0	23
Jacoby Hill	G	36	4-6	0-0	3-4	5	3	3	0	11
AC Bryant	G	27	3-9	2-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Jamar Franklin	G	17	2-5	2-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	32	3-8	0-0	1-2	4	1	2	1	7
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Jaye Nash	G	28	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	16	1-4	0-0	0-1	6	2	0	1	2

UTEP

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamal West Jr.	F	29	6-12	0-1	7-10	11	1	2	1	19
Caleb Blackwell	G	32	4-7	2-4	0-0	1	2	2	0	10
LA Hayes	G	22	3-5	0-1	4-6	1	1	2	0	10
KJ Thomas	G	28	3-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	8
Elijah Jones	F	26	2-7	1-3	1-2	4	0	1	0	6
Trey Horton III	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Cassius Brooks	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Kaseem Watson	F	31	0-6	0-4	2-2	4	2	0	0	2
Mouhamed Mbaye	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

95.5Offensive Efficiency91.0

91.0Defensive Efficiency95.5

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

48.0%Effective FG%46.9%

52.1%True Shooting %52.2%

22.2%Turnover Rate19.6%

43.1%Free Throw Rate45.8%

31.4%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.