Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Providence

55.2%Georgetown

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgetown -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgetown -123

Georgetown

13-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 75

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreGeorgetown 78

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricGeorgetown

54.2MMH Power Index51.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency107.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency107.4

1.8Net Efficiency-0.2

4.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.8

74.2Tempo61.7

55.0%Effective FG%49.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

1.3Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–51.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–107.2), net efficiency (1.8–-0.2), recent form (-1.3–-4.8).

Georgetown COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–113.2), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0), ball security (16.4–16.7).

Final

Providence

79—80

Georgetown

Georgetown by 1 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATGeorgetown

27-56FG31-59

48.0%FG%53.0%

13-303PT5-15

43.0%3PT%33.0%

12-18FT13-15

67.0%FT%87.0%

38Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists20

22Turnovers12

5Steals13

2Blocks3

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	30	8-16	5-10	0-0	5	3	1	0	21
Jamier Jones	F	33	6-8	0-1	7-10	8	0	1	1	19
Ryan Mela	G	37	6-10	3-5	2-2	5	2	1	0	17
Stefan Vaaks	G	34	4-10	3-7	0-0	2	5	2	0	11
Jason Edwards	G	9	1-4	1-3	2-3	1	0	0	0	5
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	32	1-4	0-0	1-3	11	3	0	1	3
Duncan Powell	F	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Nilavan Daniels	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cole Hargrove	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Peteris Pinnis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgetown

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	27	9-13	1-2	6-6	10	1	0	0	25
Kayvaun Mulready	G	33	5-9	0-1	2-2	2	7	5	1	12
Malik Mack	G	39	4-11	0-3	3-5	2	4	3	0	11
Caleb Williams	F	31	4-9	3-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	11
Jeremiah Williams	G	30	5-12	0-2	0-0	1	5	1	0	10
Julius Halaifonua	C	13	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	2	7
Isaiah Abraham	F	21	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	0	4
Jayden Fort	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

108.4Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency108.4

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

59.8%Effective FG%56.8%

61.2%True Shooting %60.5%

30.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.1%Free Throw Rate25.4%

53.6%3-Point Rate25.4%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Georgetown won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.