Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.9%Cal State Bakersfield

89.1%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -13.6

PROJECTED TOTAL165.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -817

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 76

Projected Total165.9

Projected ScoreCal Poly 90

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricCal Poly

32.2MMH Power Index46.5

100.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

-12.4Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule1.7

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

73.0Tempo76.6

46.4%Effective FG%52.2%

18.6%Turnover Rate19.8%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-9.1Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (111.0–112.6), net efficiency (-3.8–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHball security (18.6–19.8), offensive rebounding (30.2–29.9), free throw rate (43.8–35.8).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

76—108

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 32 • 82.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATCal Poly

28-67FG38-79

42.0%FG%48.0%

7-233PT13-36

30.0%3PT%36.0%

13-20FT19-24

65.0%FT%79.0%

38Rebounds46

13Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists21

18Turnovers9

5Steals11

7Blocks3

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	33	7-16	4-10	6-8	3	2	0	3	24
Bentley Waller	G	22	5-7	2-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Dylan Purnell	G	26	4-11	0-1	3-5	8	0	1	0	11
Ronald Jessamy	F	23	5-10	0-0	1-2	11	1	0	3	11
Tom Mark	F	25	2-9	1-3	3-4	3	0	0	1	8
CJ Hardy	G	25	2-3	0-1	0-1	1	3	2	0	4
Kadar Waller	G	25	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	3	1	0	4
TJ James Jr.	G	10	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Mike Price	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	25	9-15	4-7	1-1	6	3	1	0	23
Cayden Ward	G	27	5-9	2-4	4-4	9	3	3	0	16
Guzman Vasilic	G	20	6-8	3-5	1-1	4	1	0	0	16
Troy Plumtree	F	17	4-9	0-3	3-4	5	0	1	0	11
Peter Bandelj	G	25	2-8	1-4	5-6	2	8	1	0	10
Jackson Mosley	PG	19	4-10	1-6	1-2	2	4	0	0	10
Austin Goode	F	17	4-6	1-2	1-2	2	0	1	0	10
Ali Assran	F	14	1-4	1-2	3-4	4	1	1	2	6
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	11	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	6
Jake Davis	G	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	0
Eric Brown	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.5Possessions82.5

92.1Offensive Efficiency130.9

130.9Defensive Efficiency92.1

-38.8Net Efficiency38.8

47.0%Effective FG%56.3%

49.7%True Shooting %59.7%

22.1%Turnover Rate10.8%

29.9%Free Throw Rate30.4%

34.3%3-Point Rate45.6%

0.61Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 82.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.