Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Cal State Fullerton

64.0%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL168.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -178

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Projected Total168.2

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 87

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCal State Northridge

49.4MMH Power Index50

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

1.7Net Efficiency2.1

-1.2Strength of Schedule-0.6

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

76.3Tempo75.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.7%

1.3Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–49.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.1), net efficiency (2.1–1.7), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.3), recent form (2.7–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.0).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

90—77

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Fullerton by 13 • 82.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCal State Northridge

30-67FG23-61

45.0%FG%38.0%

18-473PT8-32

38.0%3PT%25.0%

12-19FT23-28

63.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds46

5Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists17

11Turnovers20

13Steals6

4Blocks2

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Williams	G	35	9-17	5-13	0-0	6	5	3	0	23
KJ Garris	G	26	6-9	4-7	4-4	4	4	3	0	20
Bailey Nunn	G	29	3-12	3-10	2-2	5	1	4	0	11
Jaden Henderson	G	21	4-10	2-8	0-0	2	4	0	0	10
Kendrick De Luna	F	27	2-3	0-0	2-5	4	0	0	3	6
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	20	2-6	2-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Bryce Cofield	G	17	1-5	0-2	4-8	2	1	1	0	6
Landon Seaman	F	13	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	6
Joshua Ward	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	2

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	38	6-13	2-7	7-8	4	1	3	0	21
Josiah Davis	G	35	4-9	1-2	12-14	7	13	1	1	21
Joshua O'Garro	G	32	4-14	1-7	2-2	8	1	0	0	11
Mahmoud Fofana	F	32	3-4	0-0	2-4	8	1	1	0	8
Jordan Brinson	G	23	2-5	2-5	0-0	5	1	1	1	6
Grady Lewis	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Davius Loury	F	15	1-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Jai Chisolm	G	10	1-6	1-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
James Evans Jr.	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.7Possessions82.7

108.8Offensive Efficiency93.1

93.1Defensive Efficiency108.8

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

58.2%Effective FG%44.3%

59.2%True Shooting %51.8%

13.4%Turnover Rate24.0%

28.4%Free Throw Rate45.9%

70.1%3-Point Rate52.5%

1.73Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 82.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.