California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.2%California Baptist

18.8%Southern Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -432

Southern Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 79

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 71

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricSouthern Utah

58.3MMH Power Index40.6

106.5Offensive Efficiency105.6

99.0Defensive Efficiency110.0

7.5Net Efficiency-4.4

1.8Strength of Schedule-3.0

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.3

68.2Tempo72.3

48.8%Effective FG%52.6%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.6%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

5.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–40.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–105.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–110.0), net efficiency (7.5–-4.4).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.6–48.8).

Final

California Baptist

82—75

Southern Utah

California Baptist by 7 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATSouthern Utah

32-60FG25-56

53.0%FG%45.0%

6-163PT4-19

38.0%3PT%21.0%

12-18FT21-26

67.0%FT%81.0%

37Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists10

12Turnovers9

2Steals8

1Blocks1

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	35	12-20	1-3	7-11	2	1	0	0	32
Jayden Jackson	G	38	5-11	4-8	0-0	4	0	1	0	14
Martel Williams	G	29	6-13	0-3	2-3	9	3	0	0	14
Jonathan Griman	F	30	3-5	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	0	6
Thomas Ndong	F	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Bradey Henige	F	24	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	1	4
Devon Malcolm	F	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Rene D'Amelio	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Jordan Muller	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	0

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Duval	G	36	11-17	2-5	6-8	4	4	4	0	30
Jaiden Feroah	F	31	4-7	2-3	4-5	6	2	1	0	14
Cale Barclay	F	26	3-7	0-2	8-9	2	0	2	0	14
Kai Burdick	C	31	4-6	0-1	1-2	8	2	0	1	9
Isaiah Cottrell	F	25	2-9	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Lorenzo Abellar	G	5	1-3	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Dylan Jones	G	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Logan Stephens	G	19	0-6	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Brayden Johnson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chuks Isitua	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

117.1Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency117.1

10.0Net Efficiency-10.0

58.3%Effective FG%48.2%

59.8%True Shooting %54.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.0%Free Throw Rate46.4%

26.7%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.