Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Northwestern

49.1%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -104

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreMinnesota 71

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricMinnesota

55.4MMH Power Index50.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.7

1.8Net Efficiency1.4

5.6Strength of Schedule3.2

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

65.6Tempo63.6

51.9%Effective FG%54.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

1.2Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–50.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.1), net efficiency (1.8–1.4), strength of schedule (5.6–3.2).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–109.8), shooting efficiency (54.1–51.9), free throw rate (36.9–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

66—67

Minnesota

Minnesota by 1 • 55.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATMinnesota

23-53FG24-44

43.0%FG%55.0%

8-233PT6-17

35.0%3PT%35.0%

12-14FT13-16

86.0%FT%81.0%

28Rebounds26

13Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists16

8Turnovers11

3Steals6

1Blocks—

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	39	9-18	1-5	4-6	9	1	1	0	23
Jake West	G	32	5-9	4-7	0-0	0	4	0	0	14
Tre Singleton	F	27	4-8	0-0	2-2	6	4	0	0	10
Angelo Ciaravino	G	23	2-6	1-2	2-2	6	0	0	0	7
Jordan Clayton	G	30	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	6	0	0	6
Justin Mullins	G	17	0-2	0-1	4-4	3	2	1	1	4
Tyler Kropp	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jayden Reid	G	18	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	39	9-13	0-1	3-4	3	4	0	21
Cade Tyson	G	40	5-11	0-3	5-5	4	1	0	15
Isaac Asuma	G	37	4-7	2-3	4-4	8	4	1	14
Bobby Durkin	F	36	4-8	4-8	0-0	3	1	2	12
Grayson Grove	F	40	1-3	0-1	1-3	2	6	3	3
Kai Shinholster	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

55.2Possessions55.2

119.6Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency119.6

-1.8Net Efficiency1.8

50.9%Effective FG%61.4%

55.3%True Shooting %64.9%

14.6%Turnover Rate19.8%

26.4%Free Throw Rate36.4%

43.4%3-Point Rate38.6%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 55.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.