UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%UC San Diego

57.1%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -133

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 73

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 76

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricUC Santa Barbara

53.4MMH Power Index51.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency113.2

100.7Defensive Efficiency106.1

7.7Net Efficiency7.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

69.8Tempo68.5

53.1%Effective FG%54.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

33.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.4Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–51.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–106.1), net efficiency (7.7–7.1), strength of schedule (-1.3–-2.0).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.2–108.4), shooting efficiency (54.8–53.1), offensive rebounding (32.5–26.9).

Final

UC San Diego

64—63

UC Santa Barbara

UC San Diego by 1 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

25-54FG22-48

46.0%FG%46.0%

2-153PT10-27

13.0%3PT%37.0%

12-18FT9-9

67.0%FT%100.0%

26Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists12

7Turnovers17

16Steals2

1Blocks1

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bol Dengdit	F	27	5-12	0-3	5-7	4	0	2	0	15
Tom Beattie	G	36	6-11	1-2	1-1	3	4	3	1	14
Hudson Mayes	G	24	5-6	0-0	2-2	2	2	2	0	12
Leo Beath	F	33	3-8	1-4	2-4	8	1	1	0	9
Jaden Vance	F	24	4-7	0-1	1-2	3	1	5	0	9
Emanuel Prospere II	G	14	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	5
Alex Chaikin	G	26	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aidan Burke	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smith	F	36	4-11	2-5	3-3	5	1	0	0	13
CJ Shaw	G	30	4-9	3-6	2-2	2	3	0	0	13
Aidan Mahaney	G	36	4-9	2-7	0-0	0	1	1	0	10
Miro Little	G	34	3-7	2-6	2-2	8	7	0	0	10
Hosana Kitenge	F	20	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Zion Sensley	G	16	2-6	0-2	2-2	6	0	0	0	6
Marvin McGhee IV	G	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Michael Simcoe	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Evans Kipruto	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

102.4Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency102.4

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

48.1%Effective FG%56.3%

51.2%True Shooting %60.3%

11.2%Turnover Rate27.3%

33.3%Free Throw Rate18.8%

27.8%3-Point Rate56.3%

1.29Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.