UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%UC Davis

83.5%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -506

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 70

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 81

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC Irvine

48.4MMH Power Index58.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.9

103.7Defensive Efficiency95.0

3.5Net Efficiency11.9

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

72.4Tempo72.3

52.3%Effective FG%50.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

41.5%Free Throw Rate36.5%

2.5Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–48.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–103.7), net efficiency (11.9–3.5), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.9).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.9), shooting efficiency (52.3–50.7), free throw rate (41.5–36.5).

Final

UC Davis

69—79

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 10 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC Irvine

25-65FG27-53

38.0%FG%51.0%

13-363PT6-14

36.0%3PT%43.0%

6-9FT19-27

67.0%FT%70.0%

24Rebounds48

5Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists12

10Turnovers19

11Steals6

3Blocks4

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Niko Rocak	F	34	6-15	6-13	2-2	5	1	0	2	20
Brayden Fagbemi	G	33	7-14	1-4	1-2	3	5	5	0	16
Isaiah Chappell	F	39	5-9	4-8	0-1	5	0	4	0	14
Marcus Wilson	G	35	3-13	1-5	2-2	2	8	1	0	9
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	36	2-6	0-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Omer Suljanovic	F	7	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Connor Sevilla	G	38	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Abdullah Amzil	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jurian Dixon	G	41	8-16	1-4	6-7	8	2	1	0	23
Andre Henry	G	32	4-10	2-3	5-6	5	1	2	0	15
Kyle Evans	F	37	5-5	0-0	4-4	7	2	1	2	14
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	22	5-7	1-2	2-2	5	1	2	1	13
Tama Isaac	G	34	3-5	2-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	8
Harrison Carrington	F	12	1-2	0-0	1-4	3	1	0	0	3
Derin Saran	G	26	1-6	0-2	0-0	6	3	0	1	2
Nes Emeneke	F	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	15	0-2	0-0	0-2	4	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

92.5Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency92.5

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

48.5%Effective FG%56.6%

49.8%True Shooting %60.0%

13.5%Turnover Rate25.4%

13.8%Free Throw Rate50.9%

55.4%3-Point Rate26.4%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.