Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Penn State

71.3%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRutgers -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINERutgers -248

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreRutgers 79

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricRutgers

42.3MMH Power Index45.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency104.2

117.6Defensive Efficiency112.2

-8.4Net Efficiency-8.0

5.3Strength of Schedule3.9

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

67.5Tempo67.4

53.4%Effective FG%47.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.3%

-5.7Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Rutgers HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRutgers holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–42.3), defensive efficiency (112.2–117.6), net efficiency (-8.0–-8.4), recent form (-1.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–104.2), strength of schedule (5.3–3.9), shooting efficiency (53.4–47.4).

Final

Penn State

62—74

Rutgers

Rutgers by 12 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATRutgers

23-56FG27-61

41.0%FG%44.0%

3-223PT6-19

14.0%3PT%32.0%

13-22FT14-17

59.0%FT%82.0%

36Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists16

10Turnovers7

6Steals5

5Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ivan Juric	F	29	5-10	0-2	6-10	6	1	0	0	16
Freddie Dilione V	G	27	6-12	0-3	2-4	6	0	1	0	14
Kayden Mingo	G	38	6-10	1-3	0-0	7	4	2	2	13
Josh Reed	F	35	3-11	2-5	4-4	8	1	1	0	12
Dominick Stewart	G	33	2-7	0-4	0-0	2	5	2	1	4
Mason Blackwood	F	19	1-3	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Eli Rice	G	12	0-3	0-3	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Justin Houser	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Saša Ciani	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	31	5-11	3-5	5-6	2	2	2	0	18
Lino Mark	G	32	7-14	1-3	1-2	4	2	1	0	16
Jamichael Davis	G	25	3-8	1-2	4-4	4	4	0	0	11
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	31	4-7	0-1	0-0	13	2	1	1	8
Chris Nwuli	F	18	3-4	0-1	1-1	2	1	0	0	7
Dylan Grant	F	27	2-5	0-2	2-2	4	2	1	1	6
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	16	2-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	2	5
Kaden Powers	G	16	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Harun Zrno	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

89.5Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency89.5

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

43.8%Effective FG%49.2%

46.7%True Shooting %53.6%

14.4%Turnover Rate10.1%

39.3%Free Throw Rate27.9%

39.3%3-Point Rate31.1%

1.10Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.