Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.4%Northwestern

96.6%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -23.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -2841

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 65

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreMichigan 89

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricMichigan

55.4MMH Power Index80.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency122.3

109.8Defensive Efficiency97.0

1.8Net Efficiency25.3

5.6Strength of Schedule8.7

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

65.6Tempo71.8

51.9%Effective FG%58.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

1.2Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–55.4), offensive efficiency (122.3–111.6), defensive efficiency (97.0–109.8), net efficiency (25.3–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–16.4).

Final

Northwestern

76—80

Michigan

Michigan by 4 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATMichigan

23-58FG22-61

40.0%FG%36.0%

7-223PT7-27

32.0%3PT%26.0%

23-31FT29-37

74.0%FT%78.0%

41Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists14

14Turnovers11

7Steals8

3Blocks5

24Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	42	5-14	1-5	10-13	8	1	0	0	21
Nick Martinelli	F	45	5-17	1-3	9-12	6	0	0	0	20
Jalen Leach	Not Available	27	8-12	3-5	0-0	1	5	0	0	19
Ty Berry	Guard	38	5-12	2-8	0-0	7	0	5	0	12
Matthew Nicholson	Center	30	0-1	0-0	4-6	16	1	1	1	4
Angelo Ciaravino	G	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0
Blake Smith	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
K.J. Windham	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vladislav Goldin	Not Available	38	9-16	3-6	10-12	8	2	1	4	31
Nimari Burnett	G	29	4-10	2-8	3-4	6	3	3	0	13
Tre Donaldson	G	38	3-12	0-4	4-4	1	4	1	0	10
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	33	4-10	0-1	2-3	4	1	0	0	10
Rubin Jones	Guard	25	2-3	2-3	2-2	2	2	2	0	8
Danny Wolf	Center	40	0-7	0-2	4-8	13	2	0	1	4
Will Tschetter	F	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Sam Walters	F	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Justin Pippen	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency99.7

-5.2Net Efficiency5.2

45.7%Effective FG%41.8%

52.3%True Shooting %50.9%

18.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

53.4%Free Throw Rate60.7%

37.9%3-Point Rate44.3%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Michigan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.