TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%TCU

60.3%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -152

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 77

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreBaylor 80

Team Comparison

TCUMetricBaylor

59.7MMH Power Index58.9

110.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency109.5

7.5Net Efficiency7.2

4.6Strength of Schedule4.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

70.2Tempo69.7

50.5%Effective FG%54.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

38.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

5.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–58.9), defensive efficiency (102.7–109.5), net efficiency (7.5–7.2), strength of schedule (4.6–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–110.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.5), offensive rebounding (37.5–33.6).

Final

TCU

74—71

Baylor

TCU by 3 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATBaylor

27-53FG25-63

51.0%FG%40.0%

7-183PT9-25

39.0%3PT%36.0%

13-17FT12-18

76.0%FT%67.0%

41Rebounds25

11Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists17

17Turnovers5

4Steals11

7Blocks2

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	26	6-12	4-8	1-1	5	0	1	0	17
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	32	5-9	0-0	6-8	15	0	1	4	16
Vasean Allette	PG	34	6-11	1-2	0-0	4	5	0	2	13
Noah Reynolds	Guard	32	4-10	1-5	4-4	3	3	0	0	13
Jace Posey	G	17	3-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
Trazarien White	Forward	26	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	5
Micah Robinson	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
David Punch	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-2	4	1	0	0	0
Malick Diallo	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Isaiah Manning	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	31	6-11	1-3	7-11	5	1	0	2	20
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	34	6-16	1-3	5-5	4	4	3	0	18
Jeremy Roach	Guard	34	4-15	3-9	0-0	2	2	2	0	11
Jayden Nunn	Guard	24	3-7	2-5	0-2	3	2	1	0	8
Robert Wright III	G	36	3-8	0-1	0-0	3	8	5	0	6
Jalen Celestine	G	16	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Josh Ojianwuna	F	25	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

109.8Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

57.5%Effective FG%46.8%

60.6%True Shooting %49.6%

25.3%Turnover Rate7.4%

32.1%Free Throw Rate28.6%

34.0%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.82Assist / Turnover3.40

Game Summary

TCU won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.