Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Saint Francis

83.8%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -517

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 68

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreWagner 81

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricWagner

32.7MMH Power Index42.9

101.2Offensive Efficiency105.5

114.7Defensive Efficiency106.1

-13.5Net Efficiency-0.6

-2.3Strength of Schedule-5.0

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.6Tempo67.6

49.8%Effective FG%50.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

31.2%Free Throw Rate31.6%

-9.5Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–32.7), offensive efficiency (105.5–101.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.7), net efficiency (-0.6–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-5.0), ball security (18.3–18.9).

Final

Saint Francis

68—70

Wagner

Wagner by 2 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATWagner

23-63FG22-60

37.0%FG%37.0%

7-233PT8-22

30.0%3PT%36.0%

15-17FT18-25

88.0%FT%72.0%

39Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists15

9Turnovers10

5Steals8

1Blocks4

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Parker	G	42	6-11	2-4	5-5	4	1	2	0	19
Chris Moncrief	G	33	5-11	0-2	3-3	4	3	1	0	13
Valentino Pinedo	F	39	3-6	0-0	6-8	11	0	0	0	12
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	40	3-9	3-6	0-0	6	1	2	0	9
Daemar Kelly	G	43	3-9	1-2	1-1	3	2	0	0	8
Aidan Harris	Forward	11	1-4	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	3
Jeremy Clayville	G	22	1-9	0-8	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	17	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Victor Payne	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	36	6-18	1-3	11-12	5	0	0	1	24
Zaire Williams	G	42	5-16	3-9	2-4	7	2	1	0	15
Keyontae Lewis	F	40	3-3	0-0	4-5	12	1	0	1	10
Javier Ezquerra	G	41	2-8	2-6	1-2	5	5	2	0	7
Tyje Kelton	F	24	3-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Zae Blake	G	18	1-6	1-2	0-0	2	4	1	0	3
Zavier Fitch	F	29	1-1	0-0	0-2	6	2	2	1	2
R.J. Greene	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	1	2
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

95.1Offensive Efficiency97.9

97.9Defensive Efficiency95.1

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

42.1%Effective FG%43.3%

47.8%True Shooting %48.7%

12.5%Turnover Rate14.1%

27.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

36.5%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Wagner won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.