Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Rutgers

52.7%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -111

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 75

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScorePenn State 77

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricPenn State

45.9MMH Power Index42.3

104.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

-8.0Net Efficiency-8.4

3.9Strength of Schedule5.3

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.4Tempo67.5

47.4%Effective FG%53.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.3%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-5.4Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Rutgers HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRutgers holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–42.3), defensive efficiency (112.2–117.6), net efficiency (-8.0–-8.4), recent form (-1.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–104.2), strength of schedule (5.3–3.9), shooting efficiency (53.4–47.4).

Final

Rutgers

72—80

Penn State

Penn State by 8 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATPenn State

27-54FG24-49

50.0%FG%49.0%

7-213PT10-21

33.0%3PT%48.0%

11-14FT22-27

79.0%FT%81.0%

34Rebounds22

10Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists17

17Turnovers13

7Steals9

2Blocks1

24Fouls14

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Bailey	Guard	30	13-15	4-5	0-0	7	0	1	0	30
Lathan Sommerville	C	22	2-4	0-0	8-8	6	0	0	0	12
Dylan Harper	Guard	32	3-11	1-5	0-2	4	3	2	0	7
Dylan Grant	F	20	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	7
Jeremiah Williams	G	17	3-6	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Jordan Derkack	G	16	2-3	0-1	2-2	1	2	1	0	6
Zach Martini	Center	20	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	17	0-2	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	1	1
Tyson Acuff	Guard	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Jamichael Davis	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	6-16	3-7	7-9	2	8	5	0	22
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	33	7-8	0-0	4-6	6	0	2	1	18
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	27	4-4	1-1	7-8	6	0	0	0	16
Freddie Dilione V	G	30	4-7	4-4	0-0	2	4	2	0	12
Zach Hicks	Forward	36	2-7	2-6	2-2	2	3	0	0	8
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	25	1-7	0-3	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Kachi Nzeh	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jahvin Carter	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

103.9Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency103.9

-11.5Net Efficiency11.5

56.5%Effective FG%59.2%

59.4%True Shooting %64.7%

25.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

25.9%Free Throw Rate55.1%

38.9%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Penn State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.