UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%UCF

93.1%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -18.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -1349

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 69

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreIowa State 87

Team Comparison

UCFMetricIowa State

57.1MMH Power Index75.9

113.3Offensive Efficiency119.3

110.0Defensive Efficiency96.0

3.3Net Efficiency23.3

6.6Strength of Schedule4.9

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

71.2Tempo68.4

53.0%Effective FG%56.1%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

31.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.4Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (119.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–110.0), net efficiency (23.3–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.9).

Final

UCF

83—108

Iowa State

Iowa State by 25 • 79.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATIowa State

27-63FG40-71

43.0%FG%56.0%

11-243PT9-22

46.0%3PT%41.0%

18-23FT19-25

78.0%FT%76.0%

29Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists19

19Turnovers10

5Steals16

3Blocks4

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	31	8-14	6-9	2-3	2	3	2	0	24
Keyshawn Hall	F	29	5-7	1-1	2-2	5	2	1	0	13
Moustapha Thiam	C	29	4-11	1-2	0-0	9	1	0	2	9
Dallan Coleman	Guard	21	2-4	1-2	4-5	3	0	0	0	9
JJ Taylor	F	21	2-5	0-1	4-5	3	0	1	0	8
Mikey Williams	G	16	2-8	0-2	3-3	2	0	0	0	7
Darius Johnson	Guard	23	2-5	1-3	1-3	2	3	0	0	6
Dior Johnson	G	10	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Nils Machowski	G	2	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Benny Williams	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Rokas Jocius	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Jefferson	F	36	9-14	3-4	9-12	7	5	4	1	30
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	38	10-15	1-4	0-0	6	8	3	0	21
Curtis Jones	Guard	34	8-19	2-7	1-2	8	2	1	0	19
Demarion Watson	G	11	3-3	1-1	4-5	5	0	1	1	11
Tamin Lipsey	G	28	4-7	1-2	0-0	5	1	3	1	9
Nate Heise	G	19	4-8	1-4	0-0	3	2	4	1	9
Dishon Jackson	C	22	0-1	0-0	5-6	4	0	0	0	5
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Nojus Indrusaitis	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kayden Fish	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
JT Rock	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Kelderman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.9Possessions79.9

103.9Offensive Efficiency135.2

135.2Defensive Efficiency103.9

-31.3Net Efficiency31.3

51.6%Effective FG%62.7%

56.1%True Shooting %65.2%

23.2%Turnover Rate12.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate35.2%

38.1%3-Point Rate31.0%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 79.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.