Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Mississippi State

96.0%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -21.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -2400

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 68

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreTennessee 89

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricTennessee

44.6MMH Power Index68.6

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency102.1

-5.8Net Efficiency13.7

5.0Strength of Schedule7.8

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

72.3Tempo68.1

51.6%Effective FG%51.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate38.6%

-4.2Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (102.1–113.2), net efficiency (13.7–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.3).

Final

Mississippi State

56—68

Tennessee

Tennessee by 12 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATTennessee

19-56FG23-55

34.0%FG%42.0%

10-333PT10-28

30.0%3PT%36.0%

8-12FT12-13

67.0%FT%92.0%

31Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists15

11Turnovers10

5Steals7

3Blocks4

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	34	5-16	4-12	0-0	2	2	0	0	14
Riley Kugel	G	25	3-12	2-7	4-5	2	1	1	0	12
RJ Melendez	Forward	22	4-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	10
KeShawn Murphy	F	21	4-8	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	9
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	22	2-6	2-6	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
Cameron Matthews	Forward	37	1-4	0-2	0-0	8	2	2	0	2
Mike Nwoko	F	21	0-2	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	2	1
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaz Lanier	Guard	32	8-17	5-12	2-2	2	1	2	0	23
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	27	4-6	2-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	10
Jordan Gainey	Guard	25	3-7	0-3	4-4	2	2	0	2	10
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	38	3-8	1-3	2-2	2	7	5	0	9
Felix Okpara	F	32	2-6	1-1	4-5	12	0	0	1	9
Igor Milicic Jr.	Forward	25	1-5	1-4	0-0	7	1	0	0	3
Cade Phillips	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Darlinstone Dubar	Guard	7	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bishop Boswell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

91.1Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency91.1

-19.5Net Efficiency19.5

42.9%Effective FG%50.9%

45.4%True Shooting %55.6%

17.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

21.4%Free Throw Rate23.6%

58.9%3-Point Rate50.9%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.