Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Ohio State

81.4%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -438

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 72

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScorePurdue 82

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricPurdue

64.5MMH Power Index73.2

118.1Offensive Efficiency124.8

108.1Defensive Efficiency107.8

10.0Net Efficiency17.0

6.4Strength of Schedule7.6

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

67.2Tempo65.4

56.9%Effective FG%57.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.7%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

38.3%Free Throw Rate29.1%

6.7Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–64.5), offensive efficiency (124.8–118.1), defensive efficiency (107.8–108.1), net efficiency (17.0–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.3–29.1).

Final

Ohio State

73—70

Purdue

Ohio State by 3 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATPurdue

24-45FG26-54

53.0%FG%48.0%

11-233PT3-9

48.0%3PT%33.0%

14-17FT15-20

82.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds26

6Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists15

18Turnovers10

5Steals5

3Blocks—

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Parrish	Guard	31	8-10	6-8	0-0	7	2	1	0	22
Devin Royal	F	36	4-9	0-1	8-10	6	1	0	1	16
Bruce Thornton	G	38	3-7	3-6	2-2	6	5	2	0	11
John Mobley Jr.	G	19	3-6	1-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	9
Aaron Bradshaw	F	15	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Sean Stewart	F	20	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	5
Ques Glover	Guard	23	1-5	0-1	2-3	1	3	1	0	4
Colin White	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Mahaffey	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Ivan Njegovan	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	38	11-16	0-0	4-7	7	2	1	26
Fletcher Loyer	G	39	6-12	0-2	3-3	3	0	1	15
Braden Smith	G	30	3-14	1-3	5-6	5	8	1	12
C.J. Cox	G	24	4-6	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	9
Gicarri Harris	G	19	2-2	2-2	2-2	1	1	1	8
Caleb Furst	Forward	25	0-2	0-0	0-1	3	1	1	0
Camden Heide	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Raleigh Burgess	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

112.7Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency112.7

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

65.6%Effective FG%50.9%

68.8%True Shooting %55.1%

27.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

37.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

51.1%3-Point Rate16.7%

0.72Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Ohio State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.