Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Wisconsin

58.5%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -141

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 77

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreUCLA 80

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricUCLA

64.5MMH Power Index63

118.6Offensive Efficiency115.9

108.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

9.8Net Efficiency9.0

6.7Strength of Schedule5.1

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

69.9Tempo66.5

54.6%Effective FG%53.5%

12.8%Turnover Rate13.4%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

32.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.9Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–63.0), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.9), net efficiency (9.8–9.0), strength of schedule (6.7–5.1).

UCLA COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–108.8), recent form (8.0–5.6), offensive rebounding (30.7–28.7).

Final

Wisconsin

83—85

UCLA

UCLA by 2 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATUCLA

25-49FG29-57

51.0%FG%51.0%

15-303PT6-19

50.0%3PT%32.0%

18-21FT21-28

86.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds25

7Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists15

13Turnovers7

3Steals6

1Blocks4

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Tonje	Guard	34	8-9	6-7	2-3	5	2	0	0	24
John Blackwell	G	34	5-14	3-7	10-12	4	4	1	0	23
Steve Crowl	Forward	29	4-6	1-2	2-2	5	3	1	1	11
Max Klesmit	Guard	30	2-5	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
Carter Gilmore	Forward	24	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Nolan Winter	F	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Xavier Amos	F	6	1-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Kamari McGee	Guard	19	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Jack Janicki	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Markus Ilver	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aday Mara	C	21	7-7	0-0	8-12	5	0	0	2	22
Sebastian Mack	G	24	6-12	0-3	7-8	4	2	0	0	19
Tyler Bilodeau	F	31	6-10	2-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	16
Skyy Clark	G	27	3-7	3-6	3-4	5	4	1	0	12
Dylan Andrews	G	34	4-10	1-4	1-2	1	7	2	0	10
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	22	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Kobe Johnson	Guard	27	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
William Kyle III	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

125.4Offensive Efficiency128.4

128.4Defensive Efficiency125.4

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

66.3%Effective FG%56.1%

70.4%True Shooting %60.5%

20.0%Turnover Rate10.4%

42.9%Free Throw Rate49.1%

61.2%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

UCLA won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.