Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.9%Butler

92.1%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -16.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -1166

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 67

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreUConn 84

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricUConn

52.7MMH Power Index70.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency116.3

109.1Defensive Efficiency98.4

2.6Net Efficiency17.9

3.1Strength of Schedule6.3

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

71.1Tempo66.2

51.2%Effective FG%55.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

42.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.8Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (116.3–111.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–109.1), net efficiency (17.9–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHball security (15.9–16.4), free throw rate (42.9–30.7).

Final

Butler

78—80

UConn

UConn by 2 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATUConn

27-59FG32-67

46.0%FG%48.0%

5-193PT7-20

26.0%3PT%35.0%

19-28FT9-14

68.0%FT%64.0%

38Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists20

10Turnovers9

6Steals6

3Blocks9

13Fouls21

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	39	11-23	0-7	3-4	3	1	2	0	25
Finley Bizjack	G	37	6-15	3-6	2-4	5	2	1	0	17
Andre Screen	Center	30	5-6	0-0	3-6	9	1	0	3	13
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	30	2-4	1-3	2-2	5	1	0	0	7
Landon Moore	G	31	0-3	0-1	6-6	5	2	0	0	6
Evan Haywood	G	9	1-1	1-1	2-3	0	0	0	0	5
Boden Kapke	F	15	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	0	3	0	3
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	34	1-4	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	0	2

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Solo Ball	G	41	8-14	5-10	2-3	6	0	0	0	23
Alex Karaban	F	40	8-17	2-6	1-1	7	6	1	3	19
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	23	6-10	0-0	2-5	7	1	2	2	14
Samson Johnson	Center	22	5-8	0-0	4-5	5	1	0	4	14
Hassan Diarra	Guard	39	2-11	0-2	0-0	7	9	3	0	4
Jaylin Stewart	F	33	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Jayden Ross	F	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Aidan Mahaney	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

112.2Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency112.2

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

50.0%Effective FG%53.0%

53.9%True Shooting %54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate12.9%

47.5%Free Throw Rate20.9%

32.2%3-Point Rate29.9%

0.80Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

UConn won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.