Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.9%Baylor

92.1%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -17.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -1166

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 70

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreGonzaga 87

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricGonzaga

58.9MMH Power Index76.4

116.7Offensive Efficiency119.7

109.5Defensive Efficiency94.0

7.2Net Efficiency25.7

4.0Strength of Schedule3.0

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

69.7Tempo70.4

54.4%Effective FG%55.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.6%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

34.8%Free Throw Rate31.5%

5.1Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–58.9), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–109.5), net efficiency (25.7–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.0–3.0), offensive rebounding (37.5–35.0), free throw rate (34.8–31.5).

Final

Baylor

63—101

Gonzaga

Gonzaga by 38 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATGonzaga

23-62FG40-71

37.0%FG%56.0%

3-213PT13-31

14.0%3PT%42.0%

14-20FT8-13

70.0%FT%62.0%

32Rebounds46

14Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists24

12Turnovers11

8Steals8

4Blocks3

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	31	5-12	0-2	5-7	9	0	1	1	15
Robert Wright III	G	30	6-14	0-2	0-0	1	6	2	0	12
Josh Ojianwuna	F	24	3-3	0-0	4-7	6	1	3	0	10
Jeremy Roach	Guard	27	2-9	1-4	4-4	2	3	1	1	9
Jayden Nunn	Guard	27	3-8	0-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Jalen Celestine	G	23	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	29	2-11	0-3	0-0	7	1	1	2	4
Jason Asemota	F	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Marino Dubravcic	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davidson Hubbard	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Omar Adegbola	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Hickman	Guard	30	7-11	3-6	0-0	6	1	2	0	17
Graham Ike	F	21	6-12	0-1	3-6	8	3	1	0	15
Braden Huff	F	16	7-11	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	1	14
Khalif Battle	Guard	31	4-10	4-8	0-0	5	2	1	1	12
Dusty Stromer	G	21	4-6	3-5	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Michael Ajayi	F	22	4-5	1-2	0-0	8	0	0	1	9
Ben Gregg	Forward	16	3-4	0-1	3-5	3	1	1	0	9
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	33	2-6	2-4	0-0	5	11	1	0	6
Ismaila Diagne	C	3	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Junseok Yeo	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Joe Few	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

89.5Offensive Efficiency143.5

143.5Defensive Efficiency89.5

-54.0Net Efficiency54.0

39.5%Effective FG%65.5%

44.1%True Shooting %65.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

32.3%Free Throw Rate18.3%

33.9%3-Point Rate43.7%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.18

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 38 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.