Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.8%Duke

10.2%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -880

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreWake Forest 69

Team Comparison

DukeMetricWake Forest

81.7MMH Power Index57.6

122.2Offensive Efficiency112.4

95.2Defensive Efficiency109.7

27.0Net Efficiency2.7

7.8Strength of Schedule7.2

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

66.8Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%52.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

39.0%Free Throw Rate36.1%

18.0Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–57.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–109.7), net efficiency (27.0–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–15.9).

Final

Duke

63—56

Wake Forest

Duke by 7 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATWake Forest

21-57FG19-51

37.0%FG%37.0%

9-323PT3-18

28.0%3PT%17.0%

12-17FT15-23

71.0%FT%65.0%

46Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists12

16Turnovers10

4Steals8

6Blocks3

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	39	8-16	1-6	7-9	7	6	0	1	24
Kon Knueppel	Guard	34	5-12	3-7	2-4	8	3	0	1	15
Mason Gillis	Forward	23	4-7	3-6	0-0	6	0	0	0	11
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	33	2-12	1-7	1-2	8	2	2	0	6
Patrick Ngongba II	C	21	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	2	1	4
Sion James	Guard	18	1-6	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	1	3
Khaman Maluach	Center	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
Caleb Foster	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Evans	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juke Harris	G	27	5-13	1-3	3-6	5	0	1	0	14
Hunter Sallis	Guard	40	5-11	1-4	1-3	7	0	0	0	12
Efton Reid III	Forward	38	2-4	0-1	5-7	5	1	0	2	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	25	4-8	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	1	9
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	37	2-7	0-4	4-5	5	8	3	0	8
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	19	1-7	0-3	2-2	0	3	3	0	4
Parker Friedrichsen	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Churchill Abass	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

93.3Offensive Efficiency83.0

83.0Defensive Efficiency93.3

10.4Net Efficiency-10.4

44.7%Effective FG%40.2%

48.4%True Shooting %45.2%

23.9%Turnover Rate14.7%

29.8%Free Throw Rate45.1%

56.1%3-Point Rate35.3%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Duke won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.