Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

90.6%Iowa State

9.4%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -964

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 84

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreArizona State 69

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricArizona State

75.9MMH Power Index51

119.3Offensive Efficiency108.1

96.0Defensive Efficiency110.9

23.3Net Efficiency-2.8

4.9Strength of Schedule7.0

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

68.4Tempo70.6

56.1%Effective FG%51.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.1%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate40.2%

15.9Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–51.0), offensive efficiency (119.3–108.1), defensive efficiency (96.0–110.9), net efficiency (23.3–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.9), free throw rate (40.2–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

76—61

Arizona State

Iowa State by 15 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATArizona State

22-48FG21-47

46.0%FG%45.0%

8-193PT8-24

42.0%3PT%33.0%

24-30FT11-18

80.0%FT%61.0%

32Rebounds25

5Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists12

12Turnovers18

11Steals6

3Blocks5

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Jones	Guard	40	10-22	5-10	8-10	7	1	3	0	33
Joshua Jefferson	F	30	4-7	1-2	4-4	10	3	4	1	13
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	27	3-8	1-3	5-6	1	1	2	0	12
Tamin Lipsey	G	34	3-6	1-3	1-2	2	3	1	1	8
Dishon Jackson	C	17	1-2	0-0	4-4	2	0	1	0	6
Demarion Watson	G	22	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Nate Heise	G	17	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Miller	G	28	4-11	3-8	2-2	0	0	1	0	13
BJ Freeman	Guard	35	3-10	1-6	2-2	1	5	1	0	9
Basheer Jihad	Forward	34	3-7	0-2	3-7	7	0	2	0	9
Jayden Quaintance	F	17	3-3	1-1	2-3	2	0	0	0	9
Alston Mason	Guard	38	3-8	1-4	1-2	6	5	0	0	8
Joson Sanon	G	25	3-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	1	8
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	19	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	4	5
Amier Ali	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

109.5Offensive Efficiency87.9

87.9Defensive Efficiency109.5

21.6Net Efficiency-21.6

54.2%Effective FG%53.2%

61.0%True Shooting %54.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate25.9%

62.5%Free Throw Rate38.3%

39.6%3-Point Rate51.1%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.