LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%LSU

90.1%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -14.1

PROJECTED TOTAL173.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -910

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 79

Projected Total173.0

Projected ScoreAlabama 94

Team Comparison

LSUMetricAlabama

54.2MMH Power Index69.5

115.5Offensive Efficiency121.6

111.3Defensive Efficiency111.2

4.2Net Efficiency10.4

4.5Strength of Schedule9.4

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

70.5Tempo74.7

53.4%Effective FG%54.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

41.9%Free Throw Rate36.9%

2.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–54.2), offensive efficiency (121.6–115.5), defensive efficiency (111.2–111.3), net efficiency (10.4–4.2).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–32.1), free throw rate (41.9–36.9).

Final

LSU

73—80

Alabama

Alabama by 7 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATAlabama

28-71FG27-61

39.0%FG%44.0%

3-233PT7-23

13.0%3PT%30.0%

14-19FT19-24

74.0%FT%79.0%

43Rebounds41

17Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists15

14Turnovers14

12Steals10

5Blocks2

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Sears	Guard	29	7-14	1-6	6-6	0	6	2	0	21
Cam Carter	Guard	31	7-19	1-7	2-2	5	1	1	0	17
Corey Chest	F	28	4-9	0-0	4-8	18	1	2	3	12
Daimion Collins	F	27	5-10	0-2	1-1	5	1	1	1	11
Dji Bailey	Guard	27	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	4
Mike Williams	G	13	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	0	3	0	3
Robert Miller III	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Trey'Dez Green	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Curtis Givens III	G	11	0-5	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Derek Fountain	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aden Holloway	G	29	5-14	3-8	6-6	4	0	2	0	19
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	18	6-8	0-0	2-3	6	0	1	0	14
Chris Youngblood	Guard	30	5-10	1-5	2-2	5	2	1	2	13
Grant Nelson	Forward	28	4-8	1-1	3-4	3	2	0	0	12
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	21	2-8	1-3	6-6	3	3	1	0	11
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	23	4-4	0-0	0-2	9	3	1	0	8
Jarin Stevenson	F	30	1-3	1-3	0-1	3	2	3	0	3
Mark Sears	Guard	17	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Aiden Sherrell	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

95.8Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency95.8

-9.2Net Efficiency9.2

41.5%Effective FG%50.0%

45.6%True Shooting %55.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.8%Free Throw Rate39.3%

32.4%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Alabama won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.