Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.6%Michigan State

10.4%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -862

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 81

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreRutgers 67

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricRutgers

69.8MMH Power Index45.9

117.0Offensive Efficiency104.2

101.5Defensive Efficiency112.2

15.5Net Efficiency-8.0

7.2Strength of Schedule3.9

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

67.3Tempo67.4

54.1%Effective FG%47.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.3%

10.5Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–45.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–112.2), net efficiency (15.5–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

81—74

Rutgers

Michigan State by 7 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATRutgers

27-56FG23-68

48.0%FG%34.0%

5-193PT9-30

26.0%3PT%30.0%

22-26FT19-25

85.0%FT%76.0%

44Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds15

19Assists9

15Turnovers6

2Steals10

8Blocks2

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	25	6-9	3-4	5-5	4	1	0	0	20
Coen Carr	F	27	5-5	0-0	4-5	8	1	0	1	14
Jaden Akins	Guard	25	3-15	1-7	5-6	5	0	0	1	12
Tre Holloman	G	28	3-7	1-2	2-2	3	6	0	0	9
Xavier Booker	F	18	3-7	0-4	3-4	4	0	0	4	9
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	25	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	4	1	0	4
Szymon Zapala	Center	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Frankie Fidler	Forward	13	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	5	1	1	4
Carson Cooper	C	15	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	3
Jaxon Kohler	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Derkack	G	27	7-11	4-7	8-9	4	1	2	0	26
Ace Bailey	Guard	39	4-17	2-5	8-8	9	0	2	0	18
Dylan Grant	F	23	3-8	2-4	1-2	5	0	0	1	9
Lathan Sommerville	C	23	3-8	0-2	0-1	2	1	1	0	6
Dylan Harper	Guard	13	2-4	0-1	2-4	0	0	1	0	6
Jeremiah Williams	G	24	2-5	0-0	0-1	4	2	2	0	4
Tyson Acuff	Guard	15	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Jamichael Davis	G	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Zach Martini	Center	10	0-5	0-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Bryce Dortch	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

112.2Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency112.2

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

52.7%Effective FG%40.4%

59.3%True Shooting %46.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate8.5%

46.4%Free Throw Rate36.8%

33.9%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.