Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Mississippi State

71.3%South Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Carolina -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Carolina -248

South Carolina

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina 83

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricSouth Carolina

44.6MMH Power Index48.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency109.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency111.2

-5.8Net Efficiency-2.2

5.0Strength of Schedule5.2

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.4

72.3Tempo68.8

51.6%Effective FG%50.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %27.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-4.2Average Margin-1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (109.0–107.4), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.2), net efficiency (-2.2–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.6–50.4), offensive rebounding (29.8–27.5).

Final

Mississippi State

65—60

South Carolina

Mississippi State by 5 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATSouth Carolina

23-55FG17-58

42.0%FG%29.0%

6-263PT4-20

23.0%3PT%20.0%

13-18FT22-29

72.0%FT%76.0%

30Rebounds45

9Offensive Rebounds21

15Assists8

17Turnovers19

10Steals13

7Blocks3

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	32	4-6	3-5	4-4	2	1	2	0	15
KeShawn Murphy	F	25	6-9	0-1	1-3	2	0	2	2	13
Josh Hubbard	G	31	4-15	2-9	2-2	0	5	0	0	12
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	32	4-11	1-7	2-2	2	2	2	0	11
Mike Nwoko	F	19	5-7	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	11
RJ Melendez	Forward	27	0-1	0-1	3-4	7	1	0	1	3
Cameron Matthews	Forward	32	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	5	2	3	0
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	26	0-2	0-1	0-1	7	1	1	1	0
Gai Chol	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamarii Thomas	Guard	34	4-9	1-5	10-12	5	2	4	0	19
Arden Conyers	F	32	1-9	1-5	9-10	6	1	1	0	12
Collin Murray-Boyles	Forward	37	4-11	0-1	2-4	12	1	4	2	10
Zach Davis	G	38	3-12	1-4	0-0	2	2	4	0	7
Nick Pringle	F	33	2-4	0-0	1-2	12	1	0	1	5
Jacobi Wright	Guard	24	2-6	1-2	0-1	2	0	0	0	5
Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Morris Ugusuk	G	21	0-6	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

91.9Offensive Efficiency84.9

84.9Defensive Efficiency91.9

7.1Net Efficiency-7.1

47.3%Effective FG%32.8%

51.1%True Shooting %41.8%

23.8%Turnover Rate27.2%

32.7%Free Throw Rate50.0%

47.3%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.42

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.