UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.8%UConn

14.2%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -604

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 82

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreXavier 71

Team Comparison

UConnMetricXavier

70.2MMH Power Index49.5

116.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

98.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

17.9Net Efficiency-3.2

6.3Strength of Schedule5.6

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

66.2Tempo71.7

55.0%Effective FG%51.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate28.9%

11.8Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (116.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (98.4–112.4), net efficiency (17.9–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHball security (13.9–16.4).

Final

UConn

72—76

Xavier

Xavier by 4 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATXavier

26-55FG26-55

47.0%FG%47.0%

7-263PT7-17

27.0%3PT%41.0%

13-17FT17-24

76.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists14

13Turnovers9

5Steals6

7Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Solo Ball	G	39	6-17	3-11	5-5	11	2	0	0	20
Aidan Mahaney	G	23	4-7	2-3	4-6	3	3	0	0	14
Samson Johnson	Center	31	5-5	0-0	2-3	4	1	0	5	12
Hassan Diarra	Guard	26	5-8	1-3	1-2	5	4	3	0	12
Alex Karaban	F	31	4-13	1-6	0-0	5	1	1	1	9
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	11	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	1	3
Jayden Ross	F	25	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	2
Jaylin Stewart	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Freemantle	Forward	36	5-15	1-6	4-7	5	2	1	2	15
Dailyn Swain	G	32	6-7	0-0	3-3	3	4	0	1	15
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	23	5-6	3-4	1-3	1	3	1	0	14
Jerome Hunter	Forward	13	3-6	1-1	5-5	5	0	0	0	12
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	33	5-12	1-1	0-2	0	3	2	0	11
Marcus Foster	Guard	27	1-3	1-3	2-2	7	1	1	0	5
Ryan Conwell	G	32	1-6	0-2	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
John Hugley IV	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

107.8Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency107.8

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

53.6%Effective FG%53.6%

57.1%True Shooting %57.2%

19.7%Turnover Rate13.4%

30.9%Free Throw Rate43.6%

47.3%3-Point Rate30.9%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Xavier won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.