Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Northwestern

94.6%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -19.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1752

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 65

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricIllinois

55.4MMH Power Index76.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.8Net Efficiency21.7

5.6Strength of Schedule6.7

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

65.6Tempo66.5

51.9%Effective FG%54.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

34.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.2Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (125.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.8), net efficiency (21.7–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–13.1), free throw rate (34.8–33.8).

Final

Northwestern

74—83

Illinois

Illinois by 9 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATIllinois

30-68FG29-65

44.0%FG%45.0%

10-253PT9-32

40.0%3PT%28.0%

4-6FT16-24

67.0%FT%67.0%

27Rebounds50

9Offensive Rebounds21

16Assists18

6Turnovers13

6Steals2

3Blocks6

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	36	7-19	3-9	0-0	2	1	0	0	17
Jalen Leach	Not Available	35	7-15	2-5	1-2	2	4	1	0	17
Ty Berry	Guard	30	4-10	2-4	0-0	6	2	2	0	10
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	14	3-4	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
K.J. Windham	G	12	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	7
Luke Hunger	F	8	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Justin Mullins	G	5	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	26	1-7	0-1	1-2	3	2	1	0	3
Angelo Ciaravino	G	20	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	1	2
Matthew Nicholson	Center	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylan Boswell	G	28	4-8	0-3	9-10	6	4	0	1	17
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	35	5-8	0-0	5-9	9	1	0	3	15
Ben Humrichous	F	29	4-12	4-9	2-2	4	1	0	1	14
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	35	5-10	1-5	0-1	10	7	1	1	11
Jake Davis	F	16	4-7	3-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Tre White	G	21	4-8	0-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	8
Will Riley	Forward	17	2-9	0-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	19	1-3	1-3	0-2	4	2	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

108.5Offensive Efficiency121.7

121.7Defensive Efficiency108.5

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

51.5%Effective FG%51.5%

52.2%True Shooting %54.3%

8.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

8.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

36.8%3-Point Rate49.2%

2.67Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Illinois won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.