Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Iowa State

72.2%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -260

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 73

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreArizona 80

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricArizona

75.9MMH Power Index79.9

119.3Offensive Efficiency120.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency96.9

23.3Net Efficiency23.4

4.9Strength of Schedule8.0

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

68.4Tempo71.6

56.1%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate45.3%

15.9Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–75.9), offensive efficiency (120.3–119.3), net efficiency (23.4–23.3), strength of schedule (8.0–4.9).

Iowa State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (96.0–96.9), recent form (17.5–17.0), shooting efficiency (56.1–55.0).

Final

Iowa State

75—86

Arizona

Arizona by 11 • 79.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATArizona

28-65FG29-66

43.0%FG%44.0%

7-243PT10-29

29.0%3PT%34.0%

12-18FT18-22

67.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists19

18Turnovers15

7Steals13

4Blocks4

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	41	7-13	3-7	1-1	4	2	1	1	18
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	42	7-14	2-3	1-2	6	3	1	0	17
Joshua Jefferson	F	39	6-12	1-4	2-3	4	4	0	0	15
Dishon Jackson	C	28	4-10	0-0	2-4	10	1	2	2	10
Curtis Jones	Guard	41	1-11	0-8	6-8	5	2	2	0	8
Demarion Watson	G	13	2-3	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Nate Heise	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Love	Guard	41	8-22	4-13	2-3	1	2	2	0	22
Tobe Awaka	F	29	6-6	0-0	5-6	12	1	1	0	17
KJ Lewis	G	37	3-9	0-1	8-9	8	6	0	1	14
Carter Bryant	Forward	27	5-7	4-5	0-0	3	0	2	2	14
Jaden Bradley	G	41	4-11	1-3	0-0	5	6	7	0	9
Trey Townsend	Forward	21	3-6	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Henri Veesaar	C	16	0-2	0-2	3-4	3	2	1	1	3
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.1Possessions79.1

94.8Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency94.8

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

48.5%Effective FG%51.5%

51.0%True Shooting %56.2%

22.6%Turnover Rate19.1%

27.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

36.9%3-Point Rate43.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Arizona won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 79.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.