Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Minnesota

93.5%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1438

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 62

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricMichigan State

50.5MMH Power Index69.8

109.1Offensive Efficiency117.0

107.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

1.4Net Efficiency15.5

3.2Strength of Schedule7.2

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

63.6Tempo67.3

54.1%Effective FG%54.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–50.5), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.7), net efficiency (15.5–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHball security (16.5–17.2), free throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Minnesota

51—73

Michigan State

Michigan State by 22 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATMichigan State

21-51FG25-56

41.0%FG%45.0%

6-173PT8-25

35.0%3PT%32.0%

3-5FT15-20

60.0%FT%75.0%

22Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists20

12Turnovers9

6Steals7

5Blocks6

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	34	9-16	1-3	2-3	5	1	0	1	21
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	30	3-10	2-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Isaac Asuma	G	21	3-6	2-4	0-0	3	1	2	0	8
Lu'Cye Patterson	Guard	19	3-6	1-3	1-2	0	4	1	0	8
Femi Odukale	Guard	36	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	5	1	2	4
Frank Mitchell	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Parker Fox	Forward	20	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Trey Edmonds	Center	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Kadyn Betts	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Holloman	G	26	4-10	4-7	0-0	2	3	1	0	12
Jaden Akins	Guard	19	4-9	2-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
Xavier Booker	F	19	3-7	0-2	4-5	3	0	0	0	10
Carson Cooper	C	21	3-4	0-0	3-6	11	0	0	3	9
Jaxon Kohler	F	18	3-6	2-4	0-0	7	1	0	2	8
Coen Carr	F	16	3-6	0-2	1-1	2	0	3	0	7
Jase Richardson	Guard	25	2-6	0-2	2-2	2	8	1	1	6
Szymon Zapala	Center	17	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	24	1-4	0-2	3-4	0	6	1	0	5
Frankie Fidler	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Gehrig Normand	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kur Teng	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

83.6Offensive Efficiency119.7

119.7Defensive Efficiency83.6

-36.1Net Efficiency36.1

47.1%Effective FG%51.8%

47.8%True Shooting %55.7%

19.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

9.8%Free Throw Rate35.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate44.6%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.