Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.3%Wake Forest

82.7%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.9

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -478

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 74

Projected Total159.9

Projected ScoreLouisville 86

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricLouisville

57.6MMH Power Index67.1

112.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

109.7Defensive Efficiency102.2

2.7Net Efficiency16.4

7.2Strength of Schedule6.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

70.2Tempo71.0

52.8%Effective FG%56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

36.1%Free Throw Rate34.1%

1.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–57.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–112.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–109.7), net efficiency (16.4–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–6.0), ball security (15.5–16.8), free throw rate (36.1–34.1).

Final

Wake Forest

59—72

Louisville

Louisville by 13 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATLouisville

23-56FG23-59

41.0%FG%39.0%

8-213PT11-36

38.0%3PT%31.0%

5-8FT15-21

63.0%FT%71.0%

39Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists17

15Turnovers9

3Steals5

5Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	24	5-12	3-4	0-0	5	1	0	1	13
Efton Reid III	Forward	37	5-6	0-0	1-3	13	2	0	2	11
Tre'Von Spillers	F	32	3-7	1-2	1-1	8	1	1	2	8
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	30	3-10	0-2	2-2	4	3	2	0	8
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	18	2-7	2-7	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Parker Friedrichsen	G	14	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Juke Harris	G	21	2-4	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	22	1-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Churchill Abass	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	33	6-15	4-11	2-2	3	0	1	1	18
Reyne Smith	Guard	34	4-10	4-10	4-4	5	2	0	0	16
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	36	3-8	2-6	6-8	5	8	2	0	14
James Scott	F	28	4-4	0-0	0-1	8	1	0	1	8
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	16	3-6	0-0	1-2	3	3	0	1	7
J'Vonne Hadley	G	33	2-10	0-4	2-2	7	3	2	0	6
Khani Rooths	F	16	1-6	1-5	0-2	3	0	0	1	3
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

88.9Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency88.9

-19.6Net Efficiency19.6

48.2%Effective FG%48.3%

49.3%True Shooting %52.2%

23.1%Turnover Rate13.2%

14.3%Free Throw Rate35.6%

37.5%3-Point Rate61.0%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Louisville won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.