Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Auburn

34.8%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL165.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -187

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 84

Projected Total165.5

Projected ScoreLSU 82

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricLSU

64.4MMH Power Index54.2

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.5

113.0Defensive Efficiency111.3

5.8Net Efficiency4.2

7.5Strength of Schedule4.5

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

69.8Tempo70.5

53.1%Effective FG%53.4%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

43.8%Free Throw Rate41.9%

4.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–54.2), offensive efficiency (118.8–115.5), net efficiency (5.8–4.2), strength of schedule (7.5–4.5).

LSU COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.3–113.0), shooting efficiency (53.4–53.1).

Final

Auburn

87—74

LSU

Auburn by 13 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATLSU

32-80FG24-51

40.0%FG%47.0%

8-253PT8-22

32.0%3PT%36.0%

15-21FT18-26

71.0%FT%69.0%

47Rebounds34

25Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists10

9Turnovers20

15Steals7

4Blocks9

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	33	10-23	0-2	6-7	16	0	1	3	26
Miles Kelly	Guard	29	5-10	2-7	1-2	3	1	3	0	13
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	31	3-12	1-4	4-6	2	7	3	1	11
Tahaad Pettiford	G	23	4-12	1-5	1-2	3	2	0	0	10
Denver Jones	Guard	26	3-9	1-4	2-2	3	3	4	0	9
Chaney Johnson	Forward	17	2-7	2-2	1-2	6	0	2	0	7
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	9	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Dylan Cardwell	Center	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	0	4
Chris Moore	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
JP Pegues	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Carter	Guard	31	7-9	2-2	8-12	6	2	1	1	24
Dji Bailey	Guard	34	3-8	1-5	6-6	3	2	2	0	13
Jordan Sears	Guard	24	3-9	2-4	3-4	3	2	1	0	11
Curtis Givens III	G	23	3-8	1-4	1-3	2	1	1	0	8
Corey Chest	F	19	3-5	0-0	0-1	7	0	0	3	6
Daimion Collins	F	25	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	3	5
Derek Fountain	Forward	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Robert Miller III	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	2	2
Trey'Dez Green	Forward	9	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Vyctorius Miller	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mike Williams	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

118.9Offensive Efficiency101.1

101.1Defensive Efficiency118.9

17.8Net Efficiency-17.8

45.0%Effective FG%54.9%

48.3%True Shooting %58.4%

12.2%Turnover Rate27.6%

26.3%Free Throw Rate51.0%

31.3%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.78Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Auburn won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.