Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Illinois

36.6%Nebraska

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -173

Nebraska

28-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 75

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreNebraska 73

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricNebraska

76.5MMH Power Index67

125.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

103.3Defensive Efficiency98.3

21.7Net Efficiency16.1

6.7Strength of Schedule6.1

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

66.5Tempo67.3

54.8%Effective FG%55.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

33.8%Free Throw Rate26.9%

14.5Average Margin10.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–67.0), offensive efficiency (125.0–114.4), net efficiency (21.7–16.1), strength of schedule (6.7–6.1).

Nebraska COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.3–103.3), shooting efficiency (55.6–54.8).

Final

Illinois

74—80

Nebraska

Nebraska by 6 • 79.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATNebraska

26-73FG31-78

36.0%FG%40.0%

10-423PT5-20

24.0%3PT%25.0%

12-18FT13-18

67.0%FT%72.0%

58Rebounds42

20Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists15

17Turnovers6

3Steals9

7Blocks4

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	36	6-15	3-10	3-4	13	4	1	0	18
Will Riley	Forward	27	6-16	4-10	0-1	4	1	0	0	16
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	24	5-10	2-6	3-3	4	0	0	0	15
Tre White	G	33	2-8	0-1	4-6	13	0	0	2	8
Kylan Boswell	G	32	4-9	0-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	25	2-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	3	5
Jake Davis	F	20	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Ben Humrichous	F	24	0-8	0-7	1-2	7	0	0	2	1
Carey Booth	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brice Williams	Guard	41	10-26	0-2	7-10	8	4	1	1	27
Connor Essegian	G	28	5-14	2-6	2-2	4	2	2	1	14
Juwan Gary	Forward	41	5-10	0-0	3-4	8	0	3	2	13
Andrew Morgan	Forward	30	4-8	0-0	1-1	7	2	0	0	9
Rollie Worster	Guard	18	3-9	1-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Berke Buyuktuncel	F	19	2-6	1-4	0-1	1	1	0	0	5
Sam Hoiberg	G	35	1-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Ahron Ulis	Guard	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	4	1	0	2
Cale Jacobsen	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.1Possessions79.1

93.6Offensive Efficiency101.1

101.1Defensive Efficiency93.6

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

42.5%Effective FG%42.9%

45.4%True Shooting %46.2%

21.6%Turnover Rate7.5%

24.7%Free Throw Rate23.1%

57.5%3-Point Rate25.6%

0.41Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Nebraska won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 79.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.