Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.2%Auburn

31.8%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -214

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 82

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreOle Miss 79

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricOle Miss

64.4MMH Power Index53

118.8Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

5.8Net Efficiency-0.3

7.5Strength of Schedule5.4

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

69.8Tempo69.5

53.1%Effective FG%50.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

43.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

4.1Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (118.8–109.2), net efficiency (5.8–-0.3), strength of schedule (7.5–5.4).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.0), ball security (14.0–14.5).

Final

Auburn

92—82

Ole Miss

Auburn by 10 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATOle Miss

30-62FG26-56

48.0%FG%46.0%

14-283PT6-19

50.0%3PT%32.0%

18-23FT24-35

78.0%FT%69.0%

41Rebounds30

15Offensive Rebounds11

22Assists11

12Turnovers9

6Steals9

3Blocks5

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	32	7-14	2-2	4-7	12	4	0	2	20
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	30	6-10	4-6	2-3	2	3	1	0	18
Denver Jones	Guard	35	5-11	4-7	2-2	1	4	1	0	16
Miles Kelly	Guard	23	4-8	3-6	4-4	1	1	1	0	15
Dylan Cardwell	Center	25	3-6	0-1	4-5	13	4	2	1	10
Tahaad Pettiford	G	24	3-7	1-3	2-2	1	5	1	0	9
Chaney Johnson	Forward	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Chris Moore	Forward	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Pedulla	Guard	35	10-16	3-6	6-8	5	2	3	0	29
Matthew Murrell	Guard	31	4-6	2-4	7-9	4	1	1	0	17
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	30	5-10	1-1	1-4	5	1	1	0	12
Malik Dia	F	32	3-9	0-2	3-4	4	3	1	3	9
Dre Davis	Guard	15	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	1	5
Davon Barnes	Not Available	20	1-3	0-2	2-2	5	0	1	1	4
Jaylen Murray	Guard	29	0-6	0-3	3-4	0	4	1	0	3
Mikeal Brown-Jones	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Eduardo Klafke	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

130.9Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency130.9

14.2Net Efficiency-14.2

59.7%Effective FG%51.8%

63.1%True Shooting %56.5%

17.2%Turnover Rate12.7%

37.1%Free Throw Rate62.5%

45.2%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Auburn won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.