North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.7%North Carolina

91.3%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1049

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 67

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricDuke

65.2MMH Power Index81.7

115.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

103.8Defensive Efficiency95.2

11.7Net Efficiency27.0

7.6Strength of Schedule7.8

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.0Tempo66.8

54.6%Effective FG%56.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

38.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

8.1Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–65.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (95.2–103.8), net efficiency (27.0–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHball security (13.9–15.9).

Final

North Carolina

70—87

Duke

Duke by 17 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATDuke

26-55FG28-53

47.0%FG%53.0%

7-193PT10-20

37.0%3PT%50.0%

11-14FT21-25

79.0%FT%84.0%

31Rebounds26

12Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists20

14Turnovers8

4Steals10

6Blocks3

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	30	4-11	2-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	12
Drake Powell	Guard	22	5-8	1-3	1-1	1	1	1	0	12
Seth Trimble	G	30	4-8	0-3	2-3	5	2	1	0	10
Ian Jackson	G	30	2-6	1-4	3-3	2	2	1	0	8
Elliot Cadeau	G	26	3-10	2-2	0-1	4	3	0	1	8
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	21	3-5	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	3	7
Jalen Washington	C	17	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	2	5
James Brown	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cade Tyson	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kon Knueppel	Guard	35	7-11	2-4	6-7	5	5	2	1	22
Cooper Flagg	Forward	38	6-14	3-5	6-9	8	7	3	2	21
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	32	5-10	2-5	5-5	2	3	0	0	17
Sion James	Guard	32	4-7	1-3	4-4	0	3	1	0	13
Khaman Maluach	Center	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Evans	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Mason Gillis	Forward	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Maliq Brown	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	0	2
Caleb Foster	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Patrick Ngongba II	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darren Harris	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

108.0Offensive Efficiency134.3

134.3Defensive Efficiency108.0

-26.2Net Efficiency26.2

53.6%Effective FG%62.3%

56.8%True Shooting %67.1%

22.0%Turnover Rate12.1%

25.5%Free Throw Rate47.2%

34.5%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.79Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Duke won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.