Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.8%Michigan State

13.2%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -658

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 82

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreUSC 72

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricUSC

69.8MMH Power Index48.3

117.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.6

15.5Net Efficiency0.9

7.2Strength of Schedule2.5

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

67.3Tempo72.4

54.1%Effective FG%50.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate45.3%

10.5Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–48.3), offensive efficiency (117.0–108.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.6), net efficiency (15.5–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (45.3–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

64—70

USC

USC by 6 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATUSC

24-57FG24-57

42.0%FG%42.0%

5-153PT7-22

33.0%3PT%32.0%

11-19FT15-19

58.0%FT%79.0%

34Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists9

13Turnovers11

5Steals2

3Blocks2

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	27	3-7	1-1	5-8	2	6	2	0	12
Jaden Akins	Guard	25	5-12	1-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	11
Coen Carr	F	26	4-6	0-0	1-4	2	3	0	0	9
Jase Richardson	Guard	20	2-6	1-2	3-4	1	1	0	0	8
Tre Holloman	G	24	2-8	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Carson Cooper	C	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	6
Frankie Fidler	Forward	19	2-8	0-1	1-1	7	0	2	2	5
Szymon Zapala	Center	7	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	3
Jaxon Kohler	F	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	8	1	0	0	2
Xavier Booker	F	12	1-3	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	2

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	34	6-13	1-4	6-9	6	3	0	1	19
Wesley Yates III	G	40	5-9	3-3	2-2	5	0	0	1	15
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	38	4-14	2-9	4-4	5	1	1	0	14
Saint Thomas	Forward	40	3-10	1-5	1-2	8	4	1	0	8
Josh Cohen	Forward	17	3-6	0-0	1-1	4	1	0	0	7
Rashaun Agee	F	21	2-4	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Clark Slajchert	Guard	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Matt Knowling	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Elohim	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

94.8Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency94.8

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

46.5%Effective FG%48.2%

48.5%True Shooting %53.0%

19.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

26.3%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.23Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

USC won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.