UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.5%UConn

18.5%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -441

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 79

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreMarquette 69

Team Comparison

UConnMetricMarquette

70.2MMH Power Index52.3

116.3Offensive Efficiency106.0

98.4Defensive Efficiency106.9

17.9Net Efficiency-0.9

6.3Strength of Schedule4.2

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

66.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.8%

11.8Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (116.3–106.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–106.9), net efficiency (17.9–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.4), free throw rate (33.8–30.7).

Final

UConn

77—69

Marquette

UConn by 8 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATMarquette

25-42FG25-63

60.0%FG%40.0%

12-193PT7-22

63.0%3PT%32.0%

15-19FT12-22

79.0%FT%55.0%

36Rebounds26

9Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists5

25Turnovers8

4Steals11

6Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Solo Ball	G	39	7-11	7-9	4-4	11	3	0	1	25
Alex Karaban	F	40	4-8	1-4	6-6	4	3	2	2	15
Samson Johnson	Center	27	4-4	0-0	5-5	4	0	0	1	13
Jaylin Stewart	F	21	3-5	3-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	9
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	13	3-6	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	6
Hassan Diarra	Guard	25	2-3	1-1	0-1	4	7	0	0	5
Jayden Ross	F	27	1-2	0-1	0-1	1	2	0	1	2
Aidan Mahaney	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Jones	Guard	38	9-20	1-5	3-8	1	3	2	0	22
Chase Ross	G	37	7-13	3-4	2-4	4	0	0	0	19
David Joplin	Forward	29	4-10	3-6	2-2	5	0	1	1	13
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	29	3-10	0-3	0-0	4	2	5	1	6
Royce Parham	F	20	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Zaide Lowery	G	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Caedin Hamilton	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	1	2
Ben Gold	F	21	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Tre Norman	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Damarius Owens	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

117.0Offensive Efficiency104.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency117.0

12.2Net Efficiency-12.2

73.8%Effective FG%45.2%

75.5%True Shooting %47.0%

37.3%Turnover Rate12.4%

45.2%Free Throw Rate34.9%

45.2%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

UConn won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.