Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Arkansas

47.7%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -110

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 84

Projected Total168.1

Projected ScoreKentucky 84

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricKentucky

69.3MMH Power Index63.9

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency106.3

12.4Net Efficiency8.9

8.6Strength of Schedule8.7

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

73.8Tempo69.9

56.4%Effective FG%53.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.5%Free Throw Rate38.0%

9.2Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–63.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.2), net efficiency (12.4–8.9), recent form (3.4–-1.0).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.3–109.8), strength of schedule (8.7–8.6), offensive rebounding (33.2–31.8).

Final

Arkansas

89—79

Kentucky

Arkansas by 10 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATKentucky

32-58FG30-62

55.0%FG%48.0%

13-253PT10-23

52.0%3PT%43.0%

12-16FT9-18

75.0%FT%50.0%

30Rebounds33

4Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists11

7Turnovers13

10Steals2

2Blocks1

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	34	5-10	1-3	10-12	8	0	3	0	21
Johnell Davis	Guard	38	7-14	3-6	1-2	5	6	2	0	18
D.J. Wagner	G	38	7-13	2-4	1-2	3	8	0	0	17
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	25	5-8	4-7	0-0	4	1	1	0	14
Karter Knox	G	34	4-7	2-3	0-0	4	1	2	0	10
Trevon Brazile	F	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	5
Billy Richmond III	G	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amari Williams	Center	26	9-13	0-0	4-7	11	3	1	0	22
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	34	6-9	4-6	4-8	3	2	0	0	20
Ansley Almonor	Forward	25	4-6	3-5	1-1	3	2	0	0	12
Otega Oweh	G	32	5-13	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	10
Koby Brea	Guard	29	2-8	1-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Andrew Carr	Forward	15	1-4	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	3
Travis Perry	G	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Collin Chandler	G	17	1-3	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Brandon Garrison	F	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

124.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency124.3

14.0Net Efficiency-14.0

66.4%Effective FG%56.5%

67.8%True Shooting %56.0%

10.2%Turnover Rate17.4%

27.6%Free Throw Rate29.0%

43.1%3-Point Rate37.1%

2.43Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.