Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.1%Providence

90.9%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -16.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -999

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 74

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreSt. John's 90

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricSt. John's

54.2MMH Power Index70.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

1.8Net Efficiency16.8

4.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate41.1%

1.3Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–54.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.2), net efficiency (16.8–1.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

Providence

66—68

St. John's

St. John's by 2 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATSt. John's

24-56FG26-68

43.0%FG%38.0%

12-283PT7-21

43.0%3PT%33.0%

6-9FT9-14

67.0%FT%64.0%

39Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists19

20Turnovers9

4Steals7

6Blocks—

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	33	9-12	8-11	1-1	7	2	0	0	27
Jayden Pierre	G	30	4-14	1-7	2-2	2	6	0	0	11
Christ Essandoko	F	21	4-5	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	2	9
Justyn Fernandez	G	13	2-5	1-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	6
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	14	2-2	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	3	5
Bensley Joseph	Guard	34	1-9	1-7	0-0	12	7	3	1	3
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	31	1-7	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Rich Barron	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ryan Mela	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eli DeLaurier	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kadary Richmond	Guard	34	10-14	2-2	2-3	8	8	3	24
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	38	7-14	3-6	2-5	8	0	0	19
Zuby Ejiofor	F	35	5-12	0-0	3-4	5	1	1	13
Simeon Wilcher	G	35	2-10	1-6	0-0	1	3	0	5
Deivon Smith	Guard	28	1-10	1-3	0-0	3	6	3	3
Aaron Scott	Guard	16	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	2
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ruben Prey	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

91.7Offensive Efficiency94.4

94.4Defensive Efficiency91.7

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

53.6%Effective FG%43.4%

54.7%True Shooting %45.5%

28.1%Turnover Rate12.4%

16.1%Free Throw Rate20.6%

50.0%3-Point Rate30.9%

0.80Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

St. John's won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.