Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.4%Wisconsin

37.6%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -166

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 79

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 76

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricNorthwestern

64.5MMH Power Index55.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency111.6

108.8Defensive Efficiency109.8

9.8Net Efficiency1.8

6.7Strength of Schedule5.6

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

69.9Tempo65.6

54.6%Effective FG%51.9%

12.8%Turnover Rate13.0%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

32.5%Free Throw Rate34.8%

6.9Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.6), defensive efficiency (108.8–109.8), net efficiency (9.8–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.8–32.5).

Final

Wisconsin

75—69

Northwestern

Wisconsin by 6 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATNorthwestern

22-53FG25-59

42.0%FG%42.0%

13-323PT11-28

41.0%3PT%39.0%

18-21FT8-9

86.0%FT%89.0%

38Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists16

10Turnovers5

2Steals5

1Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Tonje	Guard	38	8-18	5-11	6-6	2	3	0	0	27
Carter Gilmore	Forward	24	5-7	3-5	2-2	7	1	0	0	15
Max Klesmit	Guard	27	3-7	1-4	4-4	4	2	0	0	11
Nolan Winter	F	20	2-5	2-4	4-6	5	1	0	0	10
John Blackwell	G	26	2-8	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Kamari McGee	Guard	22	1-2	0-0	2-3	2	3	1	0	4
Steve Crowl	Forward	28	1-4	1-3	0-0	7	1	0	1	3
Jack Janicki	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Xavier Amos	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Leach	Not Available	37	8-14	5-8	2-2	7	7	0	0	23
Nick Martinelli	F	40	6-18	1-5	2-3	7	2	2	0	15
Ty Berry	Guard	27	4-10	4-8	2-2	4	1	1	0	14
Matthew Nicholson	Center	29	4-5	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	2	10
Justin Mullins	G	25	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	2
Angelo Ciaravino	G	21	0-6	0-3	0-0	1	2	1	1	0
K.J. Windham	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Blake Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

121.6Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency121.6

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

53.8%Effective FG%51.7%

59.5%True Shooting %54.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate8.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate15.3%

60.4%3-Point Rate47.5%

1.30Assist / Turnover3.20

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.