Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%Ohio State

86.4%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -635

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 71

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreIllinois 84

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricIllinois

64.5MMH Power Index76.5

118.1Offensive Efficiency125.0

108.1Defensive Efficiency103.3

10.0Net Efficiency21.7

6.4Strength of Schedule6.7

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.2Tempo66.5

56.9%Effective FG%54.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

38.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.7Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.1), net efficiency (21.7–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.9–54.8), free throw rate (38.3–33.8).

Final

Ohio State

79—87

Illinois

Illinois by 8 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATIllinois

27-73FG30-58

37.0%FG%52.0%

11-233PT4-20

48.0%3PT%20.0%

14-15FT23-31

93.0%FT%74.0%

31Rebounds43

13Offensive Rebounds11

6Assists10

5Turnovers11

3Steals2

2Blocks3

25Fouls14

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Royal	F	36	10-18	3-6	6-6	7	0	0	0	29
Bruce Thornton	G	39	7-18	4-7	2-3	7	5	1	0	20
John Mobley Jr.	G	34	6-21	4-8	4-4	2	1	1	0	20
Micah Parrish	Guard	30	1-5	0-2	2-2	5	0	1	0	4
Aaron Bradshaw	F	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Ques Glover	Guard	16	1-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ivan Njegovan	C	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Evan Mahaffey	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Colin White	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Riley	Forward	29	7-9	1-1	9-12	3	1	0	0	24
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	31	6-8	0-0	2-3	15	0	0	1	14
Kylan Boswell	G	23	5-8	1-3	3-3	2	0	0	0	14
Tomislav Ivisic	C	29	5-11	1-5	1-1	10	1	0	0	12
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	23	3-7	0-2	4-4	2	0	1	0	10
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	32	2-8	0-5	4-8	3	7	0	1	8
Ben Humrichous	F	17	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	1	5
Tre White	G	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jake Davis	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

109.1Offensive Efficiency120.2

120.2Defensive Efficiency109.1

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

44.5%Effective FG%55.2%

49.3%True Shooting %59.8%

6.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

20.5%Free Throw Rate53.4%

31.5%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.20Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.