Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.4%Duke

18.6%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -438

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 80

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreKentucky 72

Team Comparison

DukeMetricKentucky

81.7MMH Power Index63.9

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency106.3

27.0Net Efficiency8.9

7.8Strength of Schedule8.7

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

66.8Tempo69.9

56.9%Effective FG%53.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.4%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

39.0%Free Throw Rate38.0%

18.0Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–63.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.2), defensive efficiency (95.2–106.3), net efficiency (27.0–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–7.8), ball security (15.4–15.9).

Final

Duke

72—77

Kentucky

Kentucky by 5 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATKentucky

28-71FG25-63

39.0%FG%40.0%

4-243PT10-25

17.0%3PT%40.0%

12-17FT17-24

71.0%FT%71.0%

44Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists17

7Turnovers11

6Steals4

6Blocks8

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	32	9-19	1-5	7-9	11	2	0	2	26
Kon Knueppel	Guard	37	5-20	1-8	3-4	5	3	1	0	14
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	36	4-9	2-5	2-3	3	2	1	0	12
Khaman Maluach	Center	23	5-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	3	10
Caleb Foster	G	29	2-10	0-5	0-1	4	4	2	0	4
Sion James	Guard	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Mason Gillis	Forward	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Maliq Brown	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	7	0	2	1	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Carr	Forward	30	5-8	2-3	5-6	6	3	0	1	17
Otega Oweh	G	31	4-10	2-3	5-6	6	3	2	1	15
Amari Williams	Center	20	3-12	0-0	4-5	8	2	0	2	10
Lamont Butler	Guard	24	3-8	1-3	2-4	3	4	0	0	9
Koby Brea	Guard	21	3-5	2-4	0-0	5	2	0	1	8
Brandon Garrison	F	18	4-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	1	8
Kerr Kriisa	G	17	2-9	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Ansley Almonor	Forward	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	27	0-4	0-3	1-3	1	0	1	2	1
Collin Chandler	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

95.6Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency95.6

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

42.3%Effective FG%47.6%

45.5%True Shooting %51.7%

9.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

23.9%Free Throw Rate38.1%

33.8%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.