Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Michigan State

43.8%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -128

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 75

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreUCLA 74

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricUCLA

69.8MMH Power Index63

117.0Offensive Efficiency115.9

101.5Defensive Efficiency106.9

15.5Net Efficiency9.0

7.2Strength of Schedule5.1

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

67.3Tempo66.5

54.1%Effective FG%53.5%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate33.8%

10.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–63.0), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.9), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.9), net efficiency (15.5–9.0).

UCLA COUNTERS WITHball security (13.4–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

61—63

UCLA

UCLA by 2 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATUCLA

20-53FG21-60

38.0%FG%35.0%

5-223PT7-28

23.0%3PT%25.0%

16-19FT14-19

84.0%FT%74.0%

45Rebounds27

14Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists13

16Turnovers3

3Steals8

4Blocks2

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Akins	Guard	30	6-14	3-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	15
Jaxon Kohler	F	13	3-5	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	1	8
Carson Cooper	C	30	1-3	0-0	4-4	9	0	0	0	6
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	27	2-4	1-2	1-2	6	5	1	1	6
Coen Carr	F	19	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Xavier Booker	F	14	2-5	1-3	1-1	3	0	0	2	6
Tre Holloman	G	23	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Frankie Fidler	Forward	18	1-5	0-4	2-4	6	0	1	0	4
Jase Richardson	Guard	16	0-6	0-3	4-4	0	1	0	0	4
Szymon Zapala	Center	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	34	3-10	2-8	6-7	3	3	0	0	14
Tyler Bilodeau	F	28	4-10	1-3	4-5	4	1	2	0	13
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	21	3-9	1-5	2-2	5	0	1	0	9
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	13	3-3	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Aday Mara	C	24	3-9	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	2	6
Kobe Johnson	Guard	29	2-7	0-4	1-2	4	0	2	0	5
Sebastian Mack	G	11	2-4	0-1	0-1	0	0	1	0	4
Dylan Andrews	G	24	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	4	1	0	3
Trent Perry	G	11	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
William Kyle III	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

95.3Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency95.3

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

42.5%Effective FG%40.8%

49.2%True Shooting %45.6%

25.0%Turnover Rate4.7%

35.8%Free Throw Rate31.7%

41.5%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.81Assist / Turnover4.33

Game Summary

UCLA won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.