Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Baylor

78.2%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -359

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 75

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 84

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricTexas Tech

58.9MMH Power Index65.8

116.7Offensive Efficiency117.8

109.5Defensive Efficiency107.2

7.2Net Efficiency10.6

4.0Strength of Schedule9.4

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

69.7Tempo68.1

54.4%Effective FG%56.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate28.2%

5.1Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–58.9), offensive efficiency (117.8–116.7), defensive efficiency (107.2–109.5), net efficiency (10.6–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (37.5–32.6), free throw rate (34.8–28.2).

Final

Baylor

59—73

Texas Tech

Texas Tech by 14 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATTexas Tech

19-56FG27-68

34.0%FG%40.0%

5-183PT11-29

28.0%3PT%38.0%

16-20FT8-10

80.0%FT%80.0%

41Rebounds41

13Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists15

12Turnovers8

4Steals4

3Blocks4

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	35	5-16	0-3	6-8	12	1	1	1	16
Robert Wright III	G	39	5-13	1-3	4-6	4	3	1	0	15
Jeremy Roach	Guard	38	3-11	2-4	4-4	7	2	0	0	12
Josh Ojianwuna	F	29	4-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2	10
Jayden Nunn	Guard	33	2-7	2-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Jalen Celestine	G	23	0-4	0-3	0-0	7	0	1	0	0
Jason Asemota	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance McMillian	Guard	38	7-18	5-11	0-1	4	1	0	0	19
Darrion Williams	F	31	5-14	1-3	6-6	8	1	0	0	17
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	35	5-11	3-7	0-0	4	7	0	0	13
Federiko Federiko	F	28	3-6	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	3	8
JT Toppin	F	21	4-8	0-1	0-0	8	3	1	1	8
Christian Anderson	G	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	2	3	0	3
Kerwin Walton	Guard	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Kevin Overton	G	16	1-4	0-1	0-1	7	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

89.8Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency89.8

-21.3Net Efficiency21.3

38.4%Effective FG%47.8%

45.0%True Shooting %50.2%

18.6%Turnover Rate12.0%

35.7%Free Throw Rate14.7%

32.1%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.